madwx

It's been a slow start to the season but a dynamic shortwave trough looks to move through the central US causing lee cyclogenesis and Colorado low moving NE through the sub. Euro(and to a lesser extent the GFS)has been consistent showing a band of double digit snow totals to the NW of the low center and has been trending slightly SE with each. Right now the highest risk seems to be to the north of the WI/IL border. At the same time a potentially substantial severe risk will be occurring in the southern parts of our subforum.

Got down to 6 here this morning. -12 in Medford. Will go look in the northwoods for some colder temps

Light rain showers and 35 this morning. Winter is still MIA here

Big winds here this afternoon. Borderline wind advisory criteria. Might get windchills in the single digits tonight

-NAO coming. Let's see how it plays out, especially for the eastern areas

I would say 24", we've gotten some totals of around 20" in the area with storms before and that's with imperfect storms so I think a 2 footer is reasonable.

Ground got coated last night. 0.2” here. It all melted by this morning though. Backside flurries with gusty winds now

Snow starting here. Nice flake size already

Snowing here this morning. Nothing accumulating yet

the fact that this is starting overnight is really gonna help with laying down that initial layer of snow, feeling more and more optimisitc about this one

you have to be under 35 to post on this sub now. 18z GFS with a bit of an uptick north of the WI/IL border with this one. Still early but I would bet on accums with this one here

the convective snow showers on Friday have my eye, with the strong winds and steep lapse rates could be a pretty impressive day

there was so much low level haze from farmers clearing their fields today. The thickest I've ever seen that, was like fog in some places

too many deer have chronic wasting around here.

got a few flurries overnight for our first trace of snow at the house.

I was gonna rag on nwohweather for still posting in here but then I realized spartman's ohio valley zoom on pivotal weather includes South Carolina so I can't complain

Nice warming trend in the mid range. This weekend and early next week are going to be beautiful for November standards

No, in fact it's been the opposite trend. Almost all TV mets now have a Met degree of some sort

11th warmest October on record for Madison. The cool nights the past week dropped us from a top 5. Warmest October on record for Milwaukee

Congrats!!

got down to 32, frost covered everything out there this morning. Good chance of hitting the 20s tonight

almost certainly will be getting our first frost and freeze this weekend. Lawn has enjoyed the late season warmth and precip and is looking the best it has looked all year

come back from South Carolina, we need you

I'm pro letting people post stuff and educating them on what it means or encouraging a use of ensemble means vs. a single run of an model. I agree that 192 hour model graphics aren't useful on their own but it can't hurt to teach people, no matter which poster it is. I'd rather turn the weenies into knowledgeable weenies.

Joe Bastardi predicting a cold winter. Must be October again