dewpoints knocked back about 7 degrees, from 73 to 66 here as the MCS modified air moved through, back to almost full sunshine though so will be watching how quickly we can recover
As long as the convective debris clouds don't go too crazy here, excited about the potential gravity waves/mass perturbations that will move into southern Wisconsin from this complex.
Things still on track for S WI today. Look for supercells to unzip NE to SW along the front. Upscale growth will occur after an hour or two with a MCS diving SE through the Chicagoland area. Wind still the largest threat but tornado and hail potential increased from yesterday
a more classic supercell setup with 40 kts of bulk shear. Main concern will be how quickly upscale growth occurs along the front but shear vectors will be fairly orthogonal to the front.
Both today and tomorrow look fairly interesting in S WI. Shear will be a limiting factor today but instability will be off the charts. I’ll be keeping an eye on any mesoscale enhancement of the wind fields.
tomorrow has also uptrended around here. Instability will be a bit less but still on the high end of climo. Shear will be sufficient for supercells.
Best storm of the year here by far. Definite warning criteria winds, mostly after the initial gust front in the back half of the precipitation. Craziest part was the downdraft brought down a very strong smoky smell from all the wildfires
absurd amount of smoke. when visiting Boise last week there was a haze in the sky the entire time we were there. Had to drive to the mountains to actually see them. Really hope one of these summers can have a pattern change for the west. Not holding my breath though.
I can always know when sea ice has a slow loss period because I see weatherdude88 post on all the various arctic sea ice forums. It's like clockwork waiting for this guy to pop out of his cave.