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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. Snow starting here. Vis dropped pretty quickly but flakes are very fine
  2. we're less than 12 hours out and the NAM somehow is still showing me getting almost 8" by midnight.
  3. I know I’m getting about 3” tonight but tomorrow could be 8” or 0” and i have no idea which way we’re headed
  4. Feel pretty good about this so far, the storm track has been a bit further north than I expected but the cold will last through about the 23rd. Looking for mild air to flood the country after that though.
  5. most global keep showing crazy totals here. have doubts because the upper levels don't scream dynamic system to me and the snow comes in two crazy thumps of WAA and then frontogenesis well north of the main low pressure system
  6. around 3" here, maybe a few tenths more tonight as the system winds down. the main defo band set up a bit to the south of model guidance so we were on the low end of totals
  7. if you get enough forcing/upward motion to tap into the DGZ then you get really good rates, otherwise it's very blah. We'll get about 3-4 more hours of better forcing here through 7-8 PM, though we may end up just on the northern edge of things
  8. Rates really plummet when we’re not in one of the bands. Even saw the sun peeking through the clouds for a bit
  9. I know, just showing that the continuing pattern of the US being the cold outlier in the whole world
  10. one of these areas is not like the others
  11. flake size definitely improved over this transient band moving in from the southwest, should hit a lull though for the rest of the afternoon shortly
  12. yes, something wrong with the data flow. https://x.com/CoDWXData/status/1889714294062776541
  13. raods and sidewalks are covered now but the grass is still showing. definitely a bit of a north south gradient in the Madison area
  14. why not, lets roll with the GFS on this one. 12" total with the WAA and then defo a day later
  15. DVN had a pretty funny situation this morning, Winter Storm Warning for 3-5 inches while the Winter Weather Advisory was for 4-6 inches
  16. Interesting evolution. We get hit with the lead shortwave/WAA on Friday and then are shut out the rest of the weekend
  17. 4.5” final call. Let’s stack some dendrites tomorrow
  18. 12z GFS holding serve with its more southerly path
  19. Going to end with about a half inch here. Ground is mostly white
  20. Update: they haven't posted a video today so not sure if they've considered adding 1899 as an analogue
  21. Have some blowing dust in the farm fields by my house. Pretty unusual for February
  22. BAMwx says a mix of Feb 1985 and Feb 2021. Stay tuned!
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