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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. At least some of these cells must be above the inversion at 850 mb
  2. Plenty of supercells with hail but everything is still pretty sky high. Watching for any mergers or nudges. Especially the cells south of Madison
  3. Cells popping up all over. Winds backed nicely. Bases are a little high but cell level processes bring them down a bit
  4. 79/69 at the house. feeling pretty good so far. Only real concern is if things form just a little northeast of here.
  5. Hit 30 at the house and 32 at MSN this morning.
  6. FYI. For those not trolling, this is a time to really not pay attention to the GFS. Skill scores are some of the lowest I’ve ever seen for anything mid to long range
  7. Was an amazing day out. Got up to 69 at the house. Rest of the week should be beautiful too - in the 60s and 70s
  8. thinking things will trend drier and warmer over the next 10 days but definitely some cool days mixed in, especially this week. looking at a change to SW flow and more active conditions around the 15th which should last through the end of the month (this is tied to indian ocean convection which climatologically flares up around this time - hence late May being a classic tornado stretch for the plains)
  9. up to 0.79" this morning with more showers throughout the next 2 days.
  10. Storms were pretty intense this morning. Tons of cloud to ground lightning. Had 1” hail with the cells that formed behind the main bow
  11. I’ll give it a D. Had a pretty ok snowstorm in December. Had a couple bouts of snow centered around a week of deep winter in February that actually featured snow cover. One nice part was that it was sunnier than the average winter
  12. the last 10 days of this month will be above average. also note that average temps are now pretty pleasant, so anything close to average will be 55 degrees or warmer
  13. Big bust. Just some sprinkles here but got much more sunshine than expected
  14. Getting some unexpected filtered sunshine here. Gonna blast past forecast highs for today
  15. Down to 15 here this morning. Should definitely be the last teens of the season. Also models are trending away from any measurable snow here tomorrow - which is a welcome change
  16. flurries here currently. Today and possibly Wednesday night look like winter's last gasp here
  17. That went about 2 miles from my house. Didn’t see anything interesting
  18. cool/cold shot early next week. Then things turn mild around the weekend of the 12th.
  19. 10th warmest March on record here in Madison. have some cool shots coming up in April but not expecting a below average month
  20. this thing keeps trending SE, almost enough to be interesting here on the winter side.
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