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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. madwx
    would do anything to avoid that euro solution in terms of freezing rain. The GFS still has lower precip amounts and more sleet in the area
  2. madwx
    06z NAM gives us about 18 straight hours of sleet, with it still going at the end of the run. Only about .2 of liquid equivalent accumulation so would be light overall better than freezing rain I'd say
  3. madwx
    La Crosse gusted to 62 and Rochester 60 earlier. I believe Wausau also had a gust around 60
  4. madwx
    this is the first set of Snow Squall Warnings MKX has issued
  5. madwx
    Arctic front now here. Winds impressive but not a huge visibility drop. Accumulating quickly on the roads
  6. madwx
    early signs are that we will be right on the line between snow and mixed precip with this one, really hoping it stays just snow
  7. madwx
    luckily the timing of the front and snow squalls is slowing down a bit so they won't be hitting directly at rush hour in Madison, more like 6 PM or so
  8. madwx
    For a few runs now the GFS has a carbon copy of this weeks storm happening next Thursday into Friday. Can’t wait to do it all again
  9. madwx
    not great here, mostly dry end to last year, barely any precip so far this winter. definitely need some soakers this spring after the frost leaves the ground
  10. madwx
    GFS shows an active week next week, multiple storms ejecting from the SW trough
  11. madwx
    they should ride the Euro
  12. madwx
    over half my yard is now bare grass, should be down to just patches by Wednesday evening. The remaining areas are hard packed ice and snow from the last week of december.
  13. madwx
    lol GFS not going to back down.
  14. madwx
    definite shift south on the 18z NAM. Really hits the Peoria to Chicago to Kalamazoo corridor
  15. madwx
    look at that orientation change
  16. madwx
    Euro Ensembles favor the main cold dump to go further west, setting up SW flow over our area. There will be some cold air lurking but signs point to it being shunted west
  17. madwx
    we'll be right on the edge between a solid hit and just a half inch of slop after the transition from rain, gut says this will miss south, brain says wait a day to make a call, heart says bring on the warmth next week after this system
  18. madwx
    looks like -42F, east of Seagull Lake in the Boundary Waters this morning.
  19. madwx
    Most of this thread has been either: talking about snowmobiling out west, reminiscing about past seasons, complaining about the lack of snow. Really paints a grim picture of the current state of things
  20. madwx
    most optimistic I've been for 6"+ this year. Which isn't saying much. Moisture and temp gradient will be a plus. Will be interesting to see how much we can get the northern stream involved
  21. madwx
    Today's 12z GFS shows a realistic transition from NW flow to split flow to W trough over the next couple weeks. Wouldn't be surprised to see an evolution like that play out, with a cold shot this weekend, a warm up with a cutter next week, a final cold shot around the 20th and mild air flooding in afterwards
  22. madwx
    The sun angle today is the same as November 1st.
  23. madwx
    yeah the tweet mentioned the GFS ensembles which don't show major cold at the end of the mean. Would say we will get a couple more cold shots(this weekend and mid/late next week) before we switch fully to the new pattern
  24. madwx
    the long range GFS and super cold shots. Name a better combo
  25. madwx
    we're well below average on snow so all I can ask is that temps are either around average or above. No longer want to be regularly waking up to below zero windchills and highs below 25
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