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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. the temp contrast between the northern and southern areas of our sub the past few weeks has been pretty crazy
  2. we were in a real bounty stretch from about 2005-2016 but it's cooled off since then. The real untold story (besides the obvious December is garbage), is that March snowfall has really tanked here in the past 10 years
  3. The main severe threat should be shifted east this season with the drought out west. Mildly optimistic about things especially as we head into summer. for this weekend, looking at a strongly forced line to push nw out of Iowa and give us some gusty winds
  4. Minnesota stands out like a sore thumb in both these maps. Pretty crazy localized pattern for them
  5. major overperformance in temps for a second day in a row, closing in on 50 here after tagging 42 yesterday. The HRRR was the only model to sniff this out, as always the NAMs do horrible with temps coming out of winter and into spring.
  6. snowpack held us in the lower 30s today but still plenty of melting in the full sunshine. finally was able to get most of the ice off my driveway from the ice storm on Tuesday
  7. It already compacted down to 2” by the time I measured this morning. I would guess that it got up to 3” or so when the snow stopped but that’s really just a guess
  8. the defo band means business and has great snow to liquid ratios
  9. 2.6" here as of 930. The first 4 hours of this have really overperformed in the deformation band, but the rates will really be dropping off as it moves eastward. The snow is really beautful sparkling in the streetlights
  10. been having lake enhanced flurries all morning here, nice dendrites but very minimal accumulation
  11. Mate, I like winter, I like snow, I like it to get cold. The whole month of January was -5.0 here and over 1/3 of the month had highs in the teens and single digits. In February we've had 5 days with highs in the teens and 6 more days below 25. We've had our share of cold and this winter has run it's course. It'll still snow in March and April and it will still get cold, but we don't need highs below 25 and lows below 10 after March 1st. That does nothing to make the outdoors more enjoyable. I get winter has sucked in this area in terms of snow but that's how it goes, we've had a great stretch of 15 years before this and we are due for some clunkers. That and AGW are just going to ensure that winters like this happen on a semi regular basis.
  12. hit -40 in International Falls this morning, so much cold bottled up just to our north. Will be nice to see that pushed out of the region this weekend
  13. NAMs going a lot less impressive with totals up here, something to keep an eye on
  14. this looks to be a fairly quick hitter here, modeled snow is right now from about 4 PM to 4 AM but this reminds me of those storms where dry air really eats at the back side and the end of snow comes flying through 3 to 4 hours before expected
  15. Point forecast of 19 today. Likely the last time we have a high in the teens this year. The pattern and climo really start working against us
  16. nice inverted trough feature with this one, will extend some light snows well NW of the low. first and final call of 3" here
  17. Fine layer of ice on everything. Had an adventure bringing the garbage bins down to the road. Most area schools are closed tomorrow
  18. Temp down to 29. Freezing rain in full swing. Accumulating quickly on elevated surfaces and cars. Once the temp drops a bit more it’ll start icing up roads as well
  19. After the next 7 days or so, the polar air really looks to get scoured from the CONUS and southern Canada, not saying it'll be warm or torch by any means but our window for highs in the 20s and lows below 15 is quickly coming to an end
  20. Lots of dry air aloft and things looking a bit convective. Feel like this will end up as a long period of freezing drizzle with occasional sleet when the convective showers hit
  21. popped up to 51 here today, was nice to open some windows in the house for a little while
  22. makes our 18.4" and -19.9" seem like a bounty
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