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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. Euro Ensembles favor the main cold dump to go further west, setting up SW flow over our area. There will be some cold air lurking but signs point to it being shunted west
  2. we'll be right on the edge between a solid hit and just a half inch of slop after the transition from rain, gut says this will miss south, brain says wait a day to make a call, heart says bring on the warmth next week after this system
  3. looks like -42F, east of Seagull Lake in the Boundary Waters this morning.
  4. Most of this thread has been either: talking about snowmobiling out west, reminiscing about past seasons, complaining about the lack of snow. Really paints a grim picture of the current state of things
  5. most optimistic I've been for 6"+ this year. Which isn't saying much. Moisture and temp gradient will be a plus. Will be interesting to see how much we can get the northern stream involved
  6. Today's 12z GFS shows a realistic transition from NW flow to split flow to W trough over the next couple weeks. Wouldn't be surprised to see an evolution like that play out, with a cold shot this weekend, a warm up with a cutter next week, a final cold shot around the 20th and mild air flooding in afterwards
  7. The sun angle today is the same as November 1st.
  8. yeah the tweet mentioned the GFS ensembles which don't show major cold at the end of the mean. Would say we will get a couple more cold shots(this weekend and mid/late next week) before we switch fully to the new pattern
  9. the long range GFS and super cold shots. Name a better combo
  10. we're well below average on snow so all I can ask is that temps are either around average or above. No longer want to be regularly waking up to below zero windchills and highs below 25
  11. You need to go to account > my attachments and clear some away. You only have limited space
  12. Mping report of snow near Keokuk Iowa
  13. Average temp of 14.4 at MSN, -5.0 on the month. 9.1" of snow which is 4.6" below average and only .48" of precip. good for 18th driest and nearly a whole inch below average. Hoping for a wetter pattern later this month or in March.
  14. major overperformance with temps today. already up to 44 at the house and 43 at the airport at noon
  15. Afraid we might be stuck in a cold a dry pattern for 10-14 days. After that at least temps should start responding more to increased daylight
  16. 16.2" at the airport. 17.5" at the house so far. A majority has been in January and the last week of December
  17. There was some fairly impressive thundersnow with that one in Madison. There was a snow day during finals week at UW.
  18. things point to us being on the sidelines for this one. obviously the track will change but the favored storm track looks to our south
  19. 2nd week of February looks cold, likely a less severe version of what occurred the second week of February last year. Good chance that some very cold air sneaks into the southern plains. After that the SE ridge starts to flex a bit more again.
  20. unexpectedly popped above freezing during the sunshine after FROPA today. nice to get some of the ice/snow melted off roads
  21. 22 degrees here this morning. An impressive 43 degrees warmer than this time yesterday
  22. Moisture will be there. Western US trough will be there. The rest is all one big ? at this point
  23. Looks like -21 is the low at the house. About 15 more minutes of cooling left to beat that. Airport down to -17. coldest temps in Wisconsin I could find were -35 in Black River Falls and -32 in Sparta
  24. Tomahawk Wi already down to -21 at 935 PM
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