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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. surprise tornado warning in SE Wisconsin. Looks like multiple spinups in a QLCS
  2. Already down to 31 at my house. Cold air drainage working well tonight
  3. A good number of them are though. Once again, poor people will be disproportionally affected by this hurricane.
  4. Listening to the EMS for Lee County is pretty rough, so many disabled people stranded in water or people in mobile homes stranded in water
  5. good thing they don't have state income tax so they can put that money into home insurance
  6. low cuts from Omaha to Duluth, we get record high temps and a highly forced lined of storms. QLCS tornadoes galore. Fargo gets 30"
  7. That’s likely to be the dominant one. Should see it fully consolidate by 6z tonight
  8. That’s associated with the old mid level center. I’ll assume the mid and low level centers will focus around 14.3N since that’s where the convection is generating the most PV
  9. https://www.aviationweather.gov/metar/data?ids=CWSA&format=decoded&date=&hours=6 Sable Island. Note that there haven't been any new METARs in an hour
  10. the cone doesn't get update during the intermediate advisories. just the full ones at 5 and 11
  11. Sable Island MSLP down to 978. Sustained winds only around 30 knots though
  12. There are some difference between how the GFS and Euro handle upper features beyond 48 hours, but staying around 15 N through tomorrow evening will give credence that a path somewhere between the GFS and Euro into the GOM is correct.
  13. the convection is tugging the center of the gyre and it seems to be heading due west now. Will have to keep an eye on how long it stays below 15 degrees. Most of the models hold it around the latitude until Saturday evening.
  14. yep, most intense blow up of convection yet on the downshear side of the circulation
  15. I'm guessing you mean Hermine? Though with the way things are going in the eastern Atlantic 98L might end up being Ian or even Julia
  16. Pretty amazing bust on the CAMs which did not predict the line of storms going through southern wisconsin
  17. Along those lines, likely the last time we’ll have dewpoints in the 70s this season in S WI
  18. About to depart CLT on a flight back to Madison. Switched to the left side of the plane to hopefully get some nice views of the storms
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