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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. If we’re looking medium range, there will likely be a brief cold shot next weekend and then another one toward the end of the week after. Otherwise things should be slightly above average. A switch to SW flow and more mild conditions around mid month look on track
  2. Touched -1 under calm conditions. That should be our last subzero low of the season
  3. down to -7 after a high of 9 yesterday. have been slightly overperforming each day so expecting 12-14 today and then 20+ starting tomorrow.
  4. I think we'll get a few more(less intense) cold/cool shots in the first two weeks of March, but around mid month there will be a switch flipped and it'll be off to the races
  5. Down to -13 here. Second coldest temp of the season. Yesterday overachieved a bit up to 7 so hoping the next few days can do the same
  6. Down to -5 here. Saw up to -9 on the car driving in to work. Today will be the coldest day and tonight will likely be the coldest night of the stretch
  7. some people will appreciate this, especially after the busts
  8. looks like we're done for the event. 4.0" yesterday, and 0.9" this morning. we'll get through this cold and then looking forward to more mild conditions starting a week from now
  9. Think we got another inch this morning. Maybe another .5 to 1” the rest of the day
  10. Measured 4” here with the snow winding down now. Quite the nice thump
  11. the NAM finally caved west of the lake, maybe an inch or so after the snow tonight
  12. Back edge about to hit here. Guessing we got 1” per hour rates
  13. Snow starting here. Vis dropped pretty quickly but flakes are very fine
  14. we're less than 12 hours out and the NAM somehow is still showing me getting almost 8" by midnight.
  15. I know I’m getting about 3” tonight but tomorrow could be 8” or 0” and i have no idea which way we’re headed
  16. Feel pretty good about this so far, the storm track has been a bit further north than I expected but the cold will last through about the 23rd. Looking for mild air to flood the country after that though.
  17. most global keep showing crazy totals here. have doubts because the upper levels don't scream dynamic system to me and the snow comes in two crazy thumps of WAA and then frontogenesis well north of the main low pressure system
  18. around 3" here, maybe a few tenths more tonight as the system winds down. the main defo band set up a bit to the south of model guidance so we were on the low end of totals
  19. if you get enough forcing/upward motion to tap into the DGZ then you get really good rates, otherwise it's very blah. We'll get about 3-4 more hours of better forcing here through 7-8 PM, though we may end up just on the northern edge of things
  20. Rates really plummet when we’re not in one of the bands. Even saw the sun peeking through the clouds for a bit
  21. I know, just showing that the continuing pattern of the US being the cold outlier in the whole world
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