If we’re looking medium range, there will likely be a brief cold shot next weekend and then another one toward the end of the week after. Otherwise things should be slightly above average.
A switch to SW flow and more mild conditions around mid month look on track
I think we'll get a few more(less intense) cold/cool shots in the first two weeks of March, but around mid month there will be a switch flipped and it'll be off to the races
looks like we're done for the event. 4.0" yesterday, and 0.9" this morning. we'll get through this cold and then looking forward to more mild conditions starting a week from now
Feel pretty good about this so far, the storm track has been a bit further north than I expected but the cold will last through about the 23rd. Looking for mild air to flood the country after that though.
most global keep showing crazy totals here. have doubts because the upper levels don't scream dynamic system to me and the snow comes in two crazy thumps of WAA and then frontogenesis well north of the main low pressure system
around 3" here, maybe a few tenths more tonight as the system winds down. the main defo band set up a bit to the south of model guidance so we were on the low end of totals
if you get enough forcing/upward motion to tap into the DGZ then you get really good rates, otherwise it's very blah. We'll get about 3-4 more hours of better forcing here through 7-8 PM, though we may end up just on the northern edge of things