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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. frostfern
    First bands all snow so far but the dewpoint is 32.
  2. frostfern
    GRR mentioned the warmth is progged to be shallow and near the ground. The main issue is stickage.
  3. frostfern
    I remember 2013-2014 having some rain, but there was persistent cold between systems. The thaws were mostly brief warm sectors, no major Pacific intrusions. The real polar vortex came later.
  4. frostfern
    It being at night and featuring some heavy rates is favorable. Also having preexisting snow to stick to. It looks to be incredibly wet if it doesn’t go to rain.
  5. frostfern
    It’s disheartening that long lasting pack-building patterns are getting more rare due to AGW. I don’t know if a 2013-2014 can happen again. It was already a fluke and we have warmed since then. Have to move north of 47 to hope for a deep snowpack.
  6. frostfern
    Window for a south shift big enough to bring me back into bigger accumulation is closing. Hedging on some glacier building slush, provided it doesn’t get into the upper 30s and start melting the pack like crazy. Euro still keeps me down reasonable close to freezing, just not ideal for accumulation.
  7. frostfern
    Without last minute shift SW it looks like mostly a rainer for me.
  8. frostfern
    P-type nail biter.
  9. frostfern
    I’m the one who could benefit most from a south shift.
  10. frostfern
    Nov-Dec 2000 was huge IMBY. System snow and lake effect. Dec 2008 was also very memorable, though the pack melted fast during the holidays with a lot of rain. 2008-2009 was a wet one with both rain and snow.
  11. frostfern
    I missed most of this one, but it was very cold so the entire 2” or so stuck to the pavement making it very slippery. Previous systems were wetter on the pavement and mostly slush rather than ice.
  12. frostfern
    I didn’t get out of bed in time to measure the official 9” total IMBY with that last storm. It was already down to 7” by the following afternoon. It’s around 5.5” now but high water content with a layer of freezing drizzle and dense sloppy on top.
  13. frostfern
    Summer is invading winter. What happened to lake effect?
  14. frostfern
    Mainly just not getting any lake enhancement + sloppy drizzly sub 1-inch WAA sludge. It’s early, but below normal temp days with sunshine and not a flurry to be found is not normal climo for here. If it’s in the 20s there should be some fluff in the air at times. I was just hopeful this was going to be a year where the snowpack can build.
  15. frostfern
    What happened to lake effect? Warm lake temps going to waste. Bunch of weak garbage clippers.
  16. frostfern
    Making up for the slow onset by avoiding the dry slot. Good night!
  17. frostfern
    Long duration WAA can’t fail too bad. It’s not one of those quick hitting systems that depend entirely on heavy rates.
  18. frostfern
    That would be unusual. I’m just used to dry layers below the DGZ screwing with flake size during WAA snow events with an east wind, especially the early part of the storm. The good thing is this is a long duration event.
  19. frostfern
    I don’t know what kind of ratios this is. I prefer to look at 10:1 and bump it up a little in my head. It’s hard to get 15:1 or better this time of year without lake enhancement. WAA snow tends to be somewhat denser, at least in my area with E wind off the land.
  20. frostfern
    Holland picked up in 3 days the same that fell all summer. Localized cloudburst dropped over 2” in about 45 minutes IMBY this evening. Heaviest I have seen it rain this whole year. This isn’t on that map yet. SE side of GR needed it so bad.
  21. frostfern
    These polar jet breakups that drive cool polar air down to latitudes where it is unseasonably have become more common if anything. We had that big Texas freeze a few years back. Just recently New Orleans had a significant snowfall.
  22. frostfern
    Lake Michigan can produce dumps well into February, though more synoptic forcing becomes necessary the later you go it seems. Lake Eerie OTOH typically shuts down after any prolonged cold.
  23. frostfern
    Too early for me. 50s at night is great, but not even reaching 70 in the middle of the afternoon is a bit much. Plus lake effect clouds.
  24. frostfern
    I’d love to post more meteorological stuff, but I can’t afford the paywalls. I miss university times. Not being at my laptop most of the time also makes posting graphics more of a pain. I’m really not good with the phone. There is a double standard regarding winter and snow as everyone bitches and moans about Cold And Dry or rainy slop.
  25. frostfern
    I think plenty of things I don’t say. I’m not a bully so I just leave it. Not everyone has the same interests. I like storms and I also like greenness, so lack of rain bums me out. Having to water my plants constantly is also frustrating. I know most people don’t care and don’t have a drought where they live. Just don’t read what you aren’t interested in. If one person can commiserate it’s worth it to me and the rest can just skip past and enjoy themselves. What’s the point in stirring drama?
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