weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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The big changes in all the op models came with last night's 0Z runs. Now it's almost within a week. Here we go!
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Watching the GEFS roll in (now out through 288) it is a big step towards the 12Z EPS. Almost identical or at least very close. 0Z has not disappointed so far. CMC op is similar to GFS OP and GEPS looks good as well. I will go to sleep before EPS tonight.
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That was my thought. Probably will change again but as you say-we'll see.
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It actually was a run that matched many expectations (hopes). Brings the cold hammer down from 12/8-9 forward
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They upgrade all the time and while it’s on beta it’s called para. Typically it becomes the op eventually.
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A blizzard in the deepest of clown range.
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Except clown range op gfs is Ballz cold.
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Hard as hell to see-h5 is really high!
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I’m not. 18 inches for me is what he implied….
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Free oxygen masks!
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Let’s get a gofundme to move there….
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Written by one of us!
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Pacific reshuffling I think. Block hangs on but where the pacific goes is key.
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I think the question pickles was asking is what would be acceptable to each of us.
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We’ve already lost September, October, and November. How much more can a weenie take?!
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Green wasn’t trolling though….
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And all in between…everywhere that can be seen-the pattern is obscene but to the ensembles to see what’s to be gleaned
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How much spread? The euro with 51 members should have less influence from outliers on either side.
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Believe me, there are some things we need not dwell on........
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George, most of the particulates and sulfur stayed below the surface of the sea per what I can ascertain. That's the one thing preventing this event from having a major cooling effect. In fact, the water vapor that was released to the atmosphere is forecast to create warming per the earlier discussion a few pages back.
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As I watch the GEFS roll in it occurs to me that it's trying to form a 3 wave NHEM pattern. I believe those are very stable so it can be quite a ride. Now it's kind of a 3 and 1/2 wave pattern in the 10-15 day prog. Fun times could be ahead.
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There’s nothing wrong with age 75....
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Let’s snapshot to d10 o ensembles.
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You lose a lot of credibility posting a d8 snapshot from an operational run.
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The big cmc feature on both the op and ensembles was the boundary being like 400 miles north of everyone else. Also the geps lowered heights in AK in the long range. I recognized the nao but the pacific kind of went to crap. Funny thing is I don’t look at it much either but I did today while having coffee late morning…lol.
