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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    George, you don’t remember the melt down after 2/8/13?
  2. weathafella
    Who’s counting on a once a century stretch? But hopefully you get the point that it’s too early still to call this winter one way or another. And disappointment? Seriously other than 5 minutes, who would be disappointed besides you?
  3. weathafella
    Where were we at 12/23/2014?
  4. weathafella
    Kind of shocked I woke up to power considering the headlines....then again I live in a wind hole-big winds earlier but died down some now.
  5. weathafella
    JD, it's a bottom line world. qq actually called for something that happened a few weeks ago and also the above normal temperatures. Credit that call. As far as the pope goes, the only actual call he made on the pattern was in the 2nd half of November and he failed. He assumes verification without a glacier in coastal NH by November's end........
  6. weathafella
    We are probably due for several years with maybe a 12 incher every 3-4 years. We've had them at ridiculous frequency vs the old days.
  7. weathafella
    How can you determine position? I mean 1994-95 was a robust very east based nino. What tools do you use determine say equally robust but modoki or even full basin?
  8. weathafella
    Why one vs the other? I think it’s a crapshoot but I don’t study it to the extent you do.
  9. weathafella
    George, when the eastern trough is lifting out concurrently with digging off the coast the outcome will be a nothing burger for land areas in the USA. Consider this as a teachable moment.
  10. weathafella
    We'll bring you 1994-95.
  11. weathafella
    And that Denver reading is at the airport already in the high plains.
  12. weathafella
    ORD will still probably get 5-9 with subzero temps.
  13. weathafella
    Move it forward 48 hours.
  14. weathafella
    I thought h5 looked like warmed over dogshit tbh.
  15. weathafella
    We almost never lose power but I'm concerned with lng (to fuel electricity in New England) supply chain this winter and have been considering a Generac. Total peace of mind whether you're home or away from home. Haven't pulled the trigger yet.
  16. weathafella
    I bought a new snowblower when this event looked. like a 1-2 footer. Literally after I got home and arranged delivery date possibilities, the guidance went to crap. My apologies. The good news is I can hold off on delivery until my covid is gone.
  17. weathafella
    I’ve never seen so much srefs talk! I don’t think I’ve considered them as legitimate guidance for >5 years. My understanding is what you see on the 15z srefs is based on the 12z NAM init which is why there can be a large disconnect between the 15z srefs and the 18z NAM. Is my understanding correct?
  18. weathafella
    Actually, the end of the GEFS/EPS show the beginning of the reload. The pig is flushed and the SE ridge is getting beaten down. We START to re-seed Canada with cold and one can extrapolate better times. Let's see what happens and if that look holds or improves going forward. The period beyond the awfulness will determine full on ratter vs volatile but sometimes fun winter.
  19. weathafella
    This one was never more than a long shot. I mean CMC gave a moderate storm for a few days. As others have implied, shoveling fake cmc snow gets old.
  20. weathafella
    If if if....I remember the old saying I'd hear my parents say..."balls said the queen, if I had them I'd be king"
  21. weathafella
    To quote Ronald Reagan....there you go again......
  22. weathafella
    It’s an awful model regardless of it’s so called verification scores. I think if I were forecasting based on what I’m seeing I’d go 5-9 for Chicagoland.
  23. weathafella
    In order for that to work out, the best way would be +12-14 1/1-15 with a presumed -5 1/16-31. Definitely possible but the first half create crocuses up in mid month. An all out torch of +8 wire to wire is a lot tougher.
  24. weathafella
    You made the right choice! You picked the blizzard of 78.
  25. weathafella
    Yeah right before Christmas it rained. The Boxing Day event was really unusual in that it clobbered south coastal TX with like 18 inches, outer banks NC with heavy snow, and then clipped eastern New England. I remember being out for a walk issuing one of my waxing poetic long live winter posts walking on some winding roads with snow clogged trees, roads, houses, me. I loved that winter and the late January blizzard was amazing. It actually was (I think) subzero the morning of the event-snow started around 4pm. I went to brunch with a friend-wife and then 5 year old daughter were in Chicago but I refused to go given the prog and all the snow i would have missed. She was giving me a hard time about missing a 14 incher in Chicago while we were about to get 25-30 here....lol
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