weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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Also, the change is a starting inside of d10 now. So far we haven’t seen pushback.
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That GEFS today is really pretty nice and very cold potentially. Even shows a little Atlantic blocking in the long range. I’m not saying this happens but if people are bothered with model discussing for fear it will fail I suggest logging off and get ahold of yourselves.
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It’s the wrong side of 1/20 anyway....
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You posted a different time when the predicted new pattern was in its infancy. Roll forward from that point to the end and you get a different picture. To effectively match what Brooklyn posted show 312
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GEFS more or less agrees while eps is further east so hopefully that one is right.
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I wonder if 2002-03 is a good analog for 2023-24? Reasonably robust but not off the charts nino following 3 year ninas. That was a long cold and snowy winter with fun in December, some fun in January, and an epic February. March was good also. One of my favorite winters. Snow otg for most of it.
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I know I know I know....but the long range on all ensemble products today are basically epic. We'll give them one last chance before we tell the bat to GFY like in the movie Major League.
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I actually read every post-6 pages of them since I last was on. Some really thought provoking and others simply hilarious.
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+11 a week in is not shocking but if it holds till mid month that’s ridiculous warmth. We had that in January 2000 I think and the extremely cold 2nd half erased it.
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My guess is Tioga Pass is different.
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To your point spring is the most miserable of our seasons to me.
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I think if winter ends up really warm-spring and summer will follow. That seems to be the Nina playbook.
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Nanuviat?
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We hope.
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Days and days.
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Answered above-maybe a page back. I misstated but my total was above normal thanks to two 12+ (one 22+) and 2 more 7+.
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But Paul-week night games start at 6? People work and it’s really disruptive. As it is we missed the beginning of every east coast game but the paying customers should have some say.
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Having lived on the west coast/tough shit. Try NFL at 10AM every week and missing the 1st quarter of MNF every week.
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0z isn’t out yet
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I just went back and checked. 4 snows >7 with 2 of them 12+. 1/7/22: 12.2 1/28-29: 22.6 2/14: 7.3 2/25: 7.3 Season total: 57.05-you can see that I had only 8 inches aside from those 4 events.
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Tell that to 78. Huge pacific jet winter.
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Little clipper per gfs. Maybe 1-2.
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I had 4 storms of 12+. Above normal for the season but mainly due to the size of the relatively few events. I’d give it a B.
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A minor snow event Wednesday.
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Once you see the crocus the rest of the winter is bogus.
