weathafella

Definitely!

Incoming snow Boxing Day in euro

Xmas eve 2014 like.

I don’t think this is fact. The natural progression brings it back to the left side of the circle barring unforeseen circumstances.

Weeklies have it there but week 3 and beyond. No guidance has MJO in 7/8 next week or the week after.

Too bad Diane wasn’t in Plymouth.

Yeah I was a bit bummed by 10 inches given how close the goods were.

It’s been baby steps improving since yesterday

At morning’s expense

Those of us north of PVD were fringed and north of MHT smoking

Finally recovered Boxing Day 2010.

2009-10 had neither. Elephant time.

Wintry this morning. Snow came overnight (maybe .3), windy, cold...everyone stay positive!

A small amount of snow otg this morning.

He needs to go to Valdez. The Alaska women await his entry....

1943 was because of the war.

Great write up John. One thing I’d like to discuss when we go eps vs GEFS is this conclusion that I have: inherently a mean of 51 is far more stable vs a mean of 1/3 that amount.

That’s not what they show.

12/5 values enso 1: 0.22 enso 2: 0.46 enso 3: 0.92 enso 3.4: 1.15 enso 4: 1.23 modoki: 0.63

In fairness, BOS is on record with 0.1 because the guy they use in Winthrop as the official measurer literally forgot the midnight reading and then it rained. It’s pretty much assumed the actual number was probably 2.5 or so based in spotters in the area. I live 10 miles away and received 6.3 inches for this areas earliest decent snow since 2012. So you may be right in the end but using a bad measure (DC/BWI/NYC/the Boston area) got a lot more snow than expected at this point. It’s been cold since mid October ala 2002. The upcoming patten is not unlike December 2002 despite the silly 5 day snapshot charts. I bet if you run 12/5-20 you’d get the same results you above. We’ll see the results in the end.

Great work Paul! The sky’s the limit for you!

Yesterday’s numbers: Enso 1: -0.04 Enso 1.2: 0.2 Enso 2: 0.46 Enso 3: 0.83 Enso 3.4: 1.01 Enso 4: 1.23 modoki index: 0.84

I’ve been reading hs stuff for years-he is excellent. The writing ability is really a lot higher this year it seems.

Great post! I’m learning a lot here. And as an aside, I like your writing style.

So I looked up Albuquerque snow and they average 10 inches a year. Raindance-you need to get up to Santa Fe! Albuquerque is a great place, NM is wonderful landscape. Just not snowy-hardly ever.