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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    How big?
  2. weathafella
    James sucking the hairy wazoo with this thread...
  3. weathafella
    Snowy next week may.
  4. weathafella
    Unfortunately I only get 24 hour height differences and clearly they’re up at AK at the end of the run. comparing to 0z this is a significant improvement at the end of the run.
  5. weathafella
    I thought it was starting to cave just a little.
  6. weathafella
    Looks like a win for downeast ME.
  7. weathafella
    EPS really likes a cold bias for the d6 system.
  8. weathafella
    Regarding 2014-15, although December was garbage the incredible cold and snow setting records in many locations skews it severe to me. It’s all subjective. Will’s listing of the 5 coldest winterms since 1960 with 60% being ninos is telling despite the small sample size. One of the 3 was 2014-15 based in overall temperatures.
  9. weathafella
    I think those critters are clipppers that are middling in guidance and outdo it. The guidance here is pretty strong already.
  10. weathafella
    Gfs also with the parting shot
  11. weathafella
    That’s not what gfs does in the end though. Ends up a SWFE of the old school variety.
  12. weathafella
    I just know that when there’s enough of a trough to drop it under us ala 2/6/78 we do quite well. It’s impossible to make blanket statements because downstream conditions dictate the outcome.
  13. weathafella
    GEFS certainly not backing down at 12z.
  14. weathafella
    Define severe. That’s me it’s way above normal snow.
  15. weathafella
    Going into the nw isn’t the issue-many of our signature storms started there.
  16. weathafella
    They did pan out...in region 5. It’s the forecast going forward that differs.
  17. weathafella
    That’s way out there tho and with tons of spread.
  18. weathafella
    That’s a consistent signal on all the guidance and it’s strong today so far. Warning snows in the pike region.
  19. weathafella
    But your premise is wrong. Things suck because the pacific jet is roaring. Put high pressure where low is in AK and we party .
  20. weathafella
    Had nothing to do with where the cold dumped. Canada is very cold.
  21. weathafella
    The eps is the board’s mental health barometer. Nothing else. Not the fact that all guidance has our first good snows on a long time next week, not the epic GEFS and GEPS look...nothing.
  22. weathafella
  23. weathafella
    The euro family has MJO in 7 by tomorrow and 8 for about a week before dying in the cod. You would think guidance would be better? That’s today’s forecast but is it that much different vs yesterday? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml
  24. weathafella
    GEPS and GEFS worlds apart. I have to think maybe eps is not right here but history suggests they have a clue....
  25. weathafella
    People won’t be satisfied no matter what due to losing December. But give SNE folks 20-30 per month for 2-3 months and the whining will be significantly muted. Anyone expecting 60/month is not realistic but realism never stopped anybody before....
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