This is what I texted my Chicago relatives:
“Heads up guys-EXTREME cold heading your way next week. Like -20 without the wind chill at noon kind of cold”
Sometimes positive NAO is recoded but there is blocking. It’s the calculation algorithm that’s used and position of anomalies that has a big influence.
NAO yes. MJO assertion isn’t born out from Will’s stats on KU and MJO position. Also, the fast pacific flow is a misnomer. Just look at the buckling for today’s system albeit with New England on the wrong side.
What? The 19-20 featured a major winter storm event in 90% of our geography in New England. That was followed by the coldest stab in years followed by today’s cutter with heavy rain.
Dangerous for your wife! Fortunately my daughter was born here in late summer so it was a non issue. My sons born in California so also a non issue. Be careful and hope for an all snow system next.