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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. I know. I happen to be a follower of wx since age 6-70 years ago. Normal max hasn’t changed much in any season. But dews are higher. When I was a kid, dews 60-65 were considered humid, 65-70 very humid, and 70+ oppressive. 70+ was quite rare in NJ in my growing up years.
  2. I’m not sure what they average but I grew up in NJ. It’s generally as humid or more here now. Fact.
  3. I think the point is we’re now the old mid Atlantic dew wise but it’s still obviously more oppressive there. A/C is an absolute necessity in all of sne below 2k. Before anyone sells their home, put it in-it’s now expected. When my wife and were first together 31 years ago, we used ac on some nights. A/C has been on continuously this summer.
  4. Hands down the best summer weekend so far. Gorgeous yesterday and today and nice and warm but not uncomfortable.
  5. White knuckle drive in pounding rain with thankfully good and frequent illumination from lightning around 10pm last night with the last round driving from north Cambridge home. Looks kind of hot next week.
  6. Great write up Ray. This winter could be an excellent learning opportunity as it evolves with respect to enso.
  7. Good thoughts. I may be reacting emotionally to the distribution and it’s definitely a quick take without any of the deeper questions you raise.
  8. Fair enough. My interpretation is entirely based on the premise of a robust east based nino-no other analysis and admittedly not considering mitigating factors. 20 years ago I would deep dive this stuff but I no longer have the patience. With that said, I want those ssta anomalies to shuffle or I will be rather pessimistic regarding winter here.
  9. Ray, the SSTA maps are exactly what I said. The post from me that you quoted stated much better look December to February but my assertion is that’s too late although it could allow for a late blooming winter but not enough time to make up snowfall deficit. September through November looks similar to now:
  10. It sucks for us September through November with a much better look December through February. It would argue for a late blooming winter with lower than normal snow given lag. December through February would probably suck. And that’s if it’s right. I’m not making any predictions-yet. But if it looks like the current picture in September imho we’re screwed.
  11. I actually live on a slope but a French drain ftw diverting the water down to the bottom of the hill away from the house.
  12. I can’t remember a warmer rain. I walked outside and it felt like shower water coming down.
  13. Another week-not much change. 3.4 probably never gets to low strong at most but man that east basis spooks me!
  14. Great trip! We’ll be there in early autumn which should be warm but tolerable which will include a week in Rome, 3 days on the Amalfi coast, and a week in Sicily.
  15. I was a freshman in college in upstate NY for the blizzard of ‘66. Absolutely crushed with close to 3 feet!
  16. That seems late. Almost like instant pattern behavior.
  17. Maybe random but 1997 matches up well with this July. In fact this year looks worse globally.
  18. At what point is it too late? I always thought it’s about a 3 month lag pattern wise. Like we agree, it looks bad now but let’s see where we are in autumn.
  19. Overall warm and humid with minor breaks for the foreseeable future. The thing is-when dews drop a bit the temperatures are able to more easily elevate. Pretty stable pattern and burgeoning WAR injected into the mix throws fuel info it. Dangerous summer for many but so far mainly the southern half of NOAM.
  20. Pouring. No flood threat here though. Hopefully Vermont is still here tomorrow-it’s a lovely place and we’d hate to lose it….
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