That’s a healthy looking dog Luke! Alas, our Golden who I posted about during her first year of life in the winter of 2008-09 is getting old. She will be 11 in June but I’m keeping her as active as I can be to try to extend as long as we can.
GEFS 12z is actually a very nice pattern with the ridge far enough east (EPO and pna) to be great for most of us. GEFS is like a box of chocolate..you never know what you’re gonna get....
We’re paying the price for presuming there was a big enough sample size to predict long range with reasonable accuracy. It worked last year but it fails often enough. We need go get a larger trove of data and that would mean we’d need reliable ssta records and H5 back hundreds of years and that’s not happening any time soon.