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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. I'll take a few weeks. My body would want a warmup by then.
  2. Verbatim it’s a look that would work out for me. Eps trended towards this middle ground last night so let’s make sure the models hold it.
  3. People posting progs for d14 and declaring them right isn’t helping. We’ll have some above normal temperatures for sure. A bigger concern to me is the dryness. A pattern change would fix that but we have to get there. 1993 had a long torch in December starting around the 2nd week with a snow event imbedded around mid month. That flipped right around Christmas as an apps runner deluged us on the 23rd. Post Christmas got cold and snowy and that pattern held for the duration.
  4. There were some days in the 70s when you did about 5 runs and packed it in-too cold and you understood whey the mountain was empty!
  5. Yeah they were similar but 93-94 had more snow and it was colder more consistently. 93-94 was torchy in December until Christmas when the hammer dropped for 2 months.
  6. 0.7 for yesterday which is my first measurable.
  7. Yeah I was running to my laptop to more easily bold that. Classic Will telling warmistas to go fuk themselves...lol.
  8. It’s going around. 0.7 here. Got down to 21 for a low.
  9. Another little burst. Been out walking in it the past hour.
  10. Yeah Larry is on a hot streak. He’s picking up something that many are missing over the past few seasons. Not sure how but kudos to him!
  11. I’m actually looking forward to the warmth. No ice to slip on and comfy temperatures to walk in day and night. Gotta watch for ticks in the woods though.
  12. Has that happened yet this season (flooding conus) despite low heights). Also, is there any guidance showing that? week 3-6 of Monday’s weeklies: if anything the January implication is split flow fun.
  13. Gfs is certainly an advisory event for eastern areas.
  14. People have to remember that this was 50 miles from a good event for many. We’re trending that way and it certainly seems better vs 36 hours ago.
  15. The low is further se at 12z. Concentrated qpf in se zones but I’d take 18z given the low path.
  16. Outsized impact for the metro areas given timing and first event of the season.
  17. NAM tries for widespread advisory/low grade warning in spots.
  18. All the ensembles feature a really good Pacific 11-15. EPS is most aggressive with the SE ridge but definitely signs of a fun pattern post 12/20 on GEFS, GEPS, and EPS.
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