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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    But it’s more likely in the first half of March. March isn’t a retention month unless 1956 walks in.
  2. weathafella
    Lock it.
  3. weathafella
    Euro is the south goalpost now while gfs is north. They switched positions. Euro has been steady the past several runs.
  4. weathafella
    Precisely my point which I mentioned to George in the middle of the night a few days ago.
  5. weathafella
    Why use kuchera?
  6. weathafella
    Fisher is a well respected ocm in Boston.
  7. weathafella
    Yeah I get the fact that the snow thump depends on deep enough antecedent cold and a solid WAA leaf. After that goes we either drizzle after a short anount of sleet or we’re done.
  8. weathafella
    For those of us on the edge in terms of winter qpf 12z was a bit less robust with taint. 0z was colder than prior runs but again only for those of us on the edge (pike region).
  9. weathafella
    Euro is outstanding for snow lovers in Boston.
  10. weathafella
    George, are you joining the navy or is the new avatar in deference to the old nogaps?
  11. weathafella
    0.5 “. All in 5-10 minutes
  12. weathafella
    It did? Looks like thump is coming
  13. weathafella
    How about 4-8?
  14. weathafella
    No
  15. weathafella
    Flakes here.
  16. weathafella
    Good luck. I’ll buy you a pizza if anyone in the area gets 18 inches.
  17. weathafella
    George, your big 3 are all fairly similar. Are you saying you’re going gfs now?
  18. weathafella
    Lol.....yes that’s how we get mostly snow. But it’s not called a swfe for nothin’. Mid levels should allow tainting. Now...we can have an all snow event but snow growth usually is not good and the ceiling is 8-12, floor 2-4. Big range but this will not be a blockbuster event. The big high will lock low level cold but snow comes from the mids.
  19. weathafella
    Don’t use kuchera for these swfe systems. Euro again with the thump, drizzle, end. I think that’s the best idea:given swfe climo. But the bigger issue is GEFS. This look SCREAMS huge event in the first half of March!
  20. weathafella
    Late but here it was
  21. weathafella
    It happened 2 months ago. Sorry I lost track of time!
  22. weathafella
    Regarding the swfe late next week-euro has the typical climo version of a cold swfe. So while still in clown range I’d initially lean towards that idea.
  23. weathafella
    Yeah they’re close enough. RIC has been screwed but coastal VA is pretty high. ACY 33”.....60% above normal.
  24. weathafella
    There’s this impression that PHL/DC/BWI/RIC has been slammed. To date: PHL: 12.5”. 25% below normal DCA: 12.3”. 25% above normal BWI: 14” Less than an inch above normal RIC: 4.3”. 35% below normal
  25. weathafella
    For your area, an above normal but perhaps frustrating year vs all out ratter are the goalposts I think.
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