weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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The rain now was well modeled.
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You envisioned warm and dry. While that prog is dry if it verifies, it’s cold.
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Happy New Year fellow crazies! I wish you all good health, peace, prosperity, and snow for 2025.
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Geography lesson in order for NH
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78. I’m doing everything I can so we’ll see.
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Ok got it. It will be interesting if the trend continues over the next 15 years. Good chance I’ll never know…
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Ok I missed that but does a 15 year trend override 150 years of data? What CC model would freeze California and warm New England? I honestly don’t know and I’m sure CC is real and alarming but not sure the 15 year nao trend is related.
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I don’t think 2 years is enough evidence of a tendency. I mean there may be but we haven’t shown that to be the case yet scientifically.
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In one of my all time winters 1960-61, after the great blizzard of 12/11-12 it was milder with rain and mixed events. Around 1/5 there was a system that trended colder resulting in about 5 inches imby. Right after that it got cold. It was cold and dry for weeks until the JFK inaugural storm in 1961. That was bookended by another great storm-bigger and meatier 2/4/61. That was the end of the cold pattern but we had 7 weeks of fun. Hopefully cold and dry yields to cold and stormy.
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NYE is when uncle is at his drunkest. Look for a big solution on crazy uncle tonight but I implore you-don’t do it!
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Primshine stopped posting. That’s how much of a dearth of action there is.
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Yeah-marine North Atlantic puke.
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I didn’t look closely but I dodmt bother with snow maps. Although western NC does get their share from time to time.
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Not even. Verbatim they get a few inches (which I guess is a crusher for that part of the world).
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I think GFS laid an egg at 12z. CMC seems like it may be ok. Talking the 1/6-7 period.
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I wasn't asking for belief other than not a drop for 2 weeks in January is a stretch when dominated by a trough. Doesn't mean it can't happen though.
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I have a hard time believing that with a trof over the eastern 3/4 of the USA we come away with no qpf.
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I don’t live in UK and neither do you.
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Yeah last run for 2024 is tomorrow before midnight but whatever
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I’m not forecasting this but rhetoric like this was voiced frequently in the first half of January 2015.
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But it is days and days. CJ signal on this run but wait 6 hours for the next iteration.
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Prismshine shit posting 78Blizz for staying facts….
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On a more global note, no real sign of a pattern change away from good once it sets in. That in itself should greatly enhance the probability of a deep pack in a few weeks.
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After the light snow.
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The PV with 480 thickness west of James bay is not in a terrible spot for us.
