weathafella

I miss big snows though. We bought a good treadmill for walking indoors when there's too much ice. Last winter we used it because it rained so much but it was warm. This year it's cold and dry. Save for that 10 days period after we got a moderate snow on 12/20. Then the walks were treacherous. On one my wife went down but was ok. About a mild later she realized she didn't have her phone. We used "find my phone" to locate it in the snow. Tonight I walked and it was biting cold and of course dry. I'm ok with that but i miss snow...

It's not worth the effort these days. I'll enjoy the fact that it's cold but everywhere I walk isn't ice covered so I can relax...

Screw this winter. Bring on the dews.

Yup, Didn't think to look at upper level tabs. Anyway-it's a whiff for everyone north of the deep south.

They have to be full of it. No vendor has it out beyond 18 hours. How would they have it?

Who knows? We're only seeing it out to 18 hours on all vendors it seems.

Looking like possibly no euro tonight.

Euro on SV still stuck at 18 hours.

Hope so! Although one of the bitter disappointments in my life that I’ll go to the grave with is having that storm hit 15 months after I moved to LA. Took 15 years to come back.

Yeah I’m probably 2 hours from bed. Gotta play my daily wordle plus I just came in from walking. It feels colder than it is out tonight. Biting wind.

I remember we talked about it here around my birthday maybe a year or 2 ago and I etched 1/5 in my brain.

It is frustrating which is one reason I went off on Brett (although the continuous haranguing made me snap).

I think happy birthday? Welcome to the 78 club!

It’s very close actually. Your shit covered goggles make you hard to listen to.

So close. Light to moderate event to eastern sne verbatim but so close to a huge hit.

138 trof is going negative. This may hug too much.

Phases are relatively rare.

Workable but not yet a blockbuster.

I think NYC got a foot in January 2015.

LBSW was patented by Ray. It means storm comes to maturity SW of New England and the effects here are muted somewhat. Eg: what DC is about to get is NOT LBSW, it’s just a storm that missed us. In LBSW the storm hits us but it’s occluding.

Definitely workable.

Happy Hour comes through!

I think what I said was true key word being often. I think it’s easy for models st long range without a lot of blocking to sniff a system out. Details can change radically. Of course if we’re getting a cutter and we don’t have nao to shunt it east models have less moving parts so verification is frequently better. It seems that NAO and timing of northern and southern streams is really tenuous with model waffling in the medium range understandable.

All that proves is ...nothing. Solutions beyond d6 are often random luck. So you can't say ICON/CMC etc had this all along. I didn't include uncle because how many systems did models converge on only for uncle to send it to Bermuda inside of 72 hours....

If the gfs and euro consistently show a hit sustained run to run I could care less about cmc or uncle which have been pretty bad for quite awhile now.