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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. Looking at the euro tonight vs 2 nights ago I see a big difference. The 2 big vorts are the atlantic vortex and the midwest one. Between the 2 a couple of nights ago squeezed a little block in eastern Canada enabling a blizzard to result. Today that happens too late. Plenty of time as wxniss and others note but there's no reason this solution is impossible and weenies should stop postulating bullshit.
  2. Yeah with average mid December air a sheared out junk system won’t do it. Heck it’s tough in the real heart of winter! But the guidance has gone back and forth on this so it isn’t settled by any means. H5 vort needs to go under us, not through southern Ontario.
  3. Jeff, let me see what I could do about a carve out for you….
  4. I’m pretty confident that someone within an hour of pickles is gonna get a good snow dump end of the week.
  5. I know but I'd have infected probably half of you.....
  6. Yeah sad to have missed it! Maybe a spring gtg to celebrate or commiserate whatever we get this winter?
  7. I thought gfs looked fine notwithstanding the details. Better holding HP and colder overall. Remember this is 6+ days away.
  8. Good turnout! Everyone looks great!
  9. That 1992-93 was a great winter-deep pack late January into April.
  10. Cmc seems to run it up the HRV. Occludes over eastern NY state.
  11. Yeah bigger agreement on tucked system. Still d6.
  12. Gfs rains because it doesn’t really wind up the low and it tucks. I’m just glad we’re getting more consensus of a sizable event.
  13. Slow baking desert. Anthony, the next frame is probably going to be fun!
  14. Euro coming in as a Miller B after all. A bit worried about temperatures but verbatim 925s look good as this gets cranking Friday morning. Long way off still.
  15. Sad to miss this! First I was going to be away but that got canceled when I came down with covid yesterday-nasty case but getting better fast probably thanks to Paxlovid. Have fun!
  16. Kind of crazy given the antecedent and path of the low. But GFS is on an island somewhere.
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