weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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Bearing down on Torch Lake-ironically named in this context….
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A great night to be 20 miles north of Petoskey.
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Our daughter is en route from btv-called to taunt me with how beautiful the falling snow is on the way….
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Clown range GFS with a weenie dream
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That’s a big change in the pacific on eps in the long range!
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Still big difference between eps and GEFS for the thanksgiving weekend timeframe. It’s far enough out but someone will cave if they don’t meet in the middle.
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Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
weathafella replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Ray, your work ethic is amazing with this! Details and always learning opportunities. Thanks for taking the time and putting this out. Good luck on verification! -
Yeah that was a nice one. I got 6.3 that night.
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Legit snow now
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Mix here. First flakes
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Hey kid-58 for me.
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JD, I understand that part but the pv that we refer to as having an immediate effect on sensible wx is at h5 I believe. So George ‘s impression that we want the strat vortex to split greatly influencing our sensible wx may not be correct. However, we’d rather a split than not. As Will posted, it helps but it’s not the main influencer.
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25 here for a low. 2 hour walk last night late-sub freezing from start to finish but after 45 minutes you warm up from the exercise. Clouding up now-rainy and cold tomorrow. Aka November.
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1…..but I’m going with none.
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Doesn’t mean much but I’m seeing the first muthufukkas of the 2022-23 winter.
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Wait-you’re shadowed my mtns on both sides? That doesn’t sound ideal for snow amounts. Kevin laid it out but good luck anyway!
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40 here at peak heating with full sun all day. Winter like.
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You confuse the strat vortex with the common term polar vortex which to my knowledge is typically seen at 500mb. Maybe I’m wrong but that’s my understanding.
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Definitely an icy look in the deep interior of SNE.
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I just looked where Simsbury is-and your sig has you at 100 feet. So in summary you may get some snow-certainly more than us in the east but expectations beyond an inch seem like a stretch. We miss you here Jay-put your foot down and head up north to live next time!
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MPM pining for original pit in GC...
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I waited until this torch but finally pulled down the storms on the older windows in the past half hour.
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Remember Thanksgiving is early Thanksgiving is early this year. A solid 2 weeks before sne can expect reasonable snow.
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EPS gets the job done 11-15 with the dateline ridge and NAO working in tandem. I think they are considerably more robust vs GEFS.
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Sweaty night. Ridiculous. Hopefully this is the end of this garbage.
