luckyweather

I know you’re just making a point and I’m not responding to that in any way, but I thought I’d make sure we all know there’s more than one of us that use the snow. I use the hell out of it and would be up there with will and bo if my work would allow it.

I mean this (1993) was the storm of last century. This is a new century.

I don’t have a wx station, so no tangible data to share - I’m in NE Winnebago County and just my obs - the wind hasn’t materialized here. Gusty but garden variety gusty.

And there really isn’t a forcing mechanism so the region remains a desert, with all that moisture in the air. Turn on your heat, all the way up, to 90. Once the bathroom is hot, turn on the shower all the way to hot, keep the door closed. Once your hot water tank is just about empty, go in there, and tell us how it felt!

Thank you for sharing the list, I will definitely remember that if I’m ever up that way, you can peak bag in NY, never thought of it. Great way to spend your summer, keep at it, let us know once you’ve finished them! Last summer I hiked up Mt Silverheels, an otherwise not noteworthy 13er in Colorado. I had rented a cabin in the middle of nowhere and you could see it from the cabin and so I figured out the name of the peak and found a pretty easy route on AllTrails, it was a pretty easy peak to bag as far as 13ers go. I learned it’s name is in tribute to a dancer who took care of ailing miners on that peak during a smallpox pandemic. Since the pandemic hit this year I haven’t been able to stop thinking about Silverheels. Almost forgotten but a reminder that while this is our first pandemic for just about everybody alive, it’s certainly not the first.

Very nice! Whiteface has some legit, out west style big mountain backcountry skiing when the snow is in. Also where the lake placid Olympic downhill ski comps were held. I didn’t realize it hit that elevation. Not too far off in elevation from the big daddy in the weather world on the east coast - mt Washington.

I am in leadership for a B Corp. These are our ideals: * That we must be the change we seek in the world. * That all business ought to be conducted as if people and place mattered. * That, through their products, practices, and profits, businesses should aspire to do no harm and benefit all. * To do so requires that we act with the understanding that we are each dependent upon another and thus responsible for each other and future generations.

Coincidentally I also was 25 years younger then. That said - Rockford, 7/4-7/7 2012 is the hottest I can remember in my lifetime, with 105 on 7/7. I lived in west of STL until 20 and nothing I remember matches July 2012 in RFD.

KJ I respect elements of your zen attitude but also have to take issue with elements of it - when individual freedom and choice are at the expense of others ability to enjoy freedom and choice, I think a commitment to staying in ones lane/taking your position and sticking with it becomes less zen and more selfish. We’re (mostly) amateur weather enthusiasts who choose to understand more of the science behind the weather than our peers for the various reasons that make up our enthusiasm. When I saw the coronavirus thread pop up I thought it might fit pretty well given that it would be another very science oriented realm where we may take a little more of an educated amateur approach to discussion like we do the weather. Along that vein my contribution to the dialogue would be that in reading some of the recently published papers, the initial reluctance and conveyance that mask wearing didn’t matter was because all other known and studied coronaviruses to date were only spread when the infected was symptomatic. Only sick and symptomatic people actively spread SARS and the other studied coronaviruses. The medical and virology communities were quick to assume covid19 behaved the same until an overwhelming body of evidence started to show that for not entirely known reasons, a measurable percent of the infected are symptomless. Thus the flip flop on mask wearing recommendations, its as much to protect others from you in case you are infected unbeknownst to yourself as it is to protect you from others. We have this fierce contingent of our populace that embraces individualism and individual freedoms at all costs, with some reasoning that “this is what our founding fathers wanted”. First of all, that was 250 years ago, this is a wildly different planet now vs then, and second of all you’d do well to take a history class again if that’s all you remember - this American experiment and our statehood were and are about a lot more than individual freedoms. More so about each persons right to have the opportunity to thrive and be happy - not that you can do whatever you want. Mask wearing is more rooted in what we were and are about than your individual choice not to wear a mask. Just my interpretation and opinion. “Promote the general welfare” We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

Probably not taking into account the likely strengthening to a category 5 monster as a consequence of its dwell time over the hot Mississippi River waters.

https://rivergages.mvr.usace.army.mil/WaterControl/stationinfo2.cfm?sid=DLDI4&fid=DLDI4&dt=S 78 degrees at dbq which seems way high, but Bellevue IA is 77, so I guess it’s right. https://rivergages.mvr.usace.army.mil/WaterControl/stationinfo2.cfm?sid=BLVI4&fid=BLVI4&dt=S

OT and you probably already know this but it was almost here already, southern IL/Memphis/the MO bootheel on down, everything there south is sedimentary deposition as the MS/delta just keeps building south. Highly visible on sat/terrain/Topo imagery.

only three weekends left until the solstice and the days start getting shorter.

A mid/late April 4-6” event here in N. IL during quarantine would make the short version of my life’s highlight reel. I’d break down and tell Alexa to play some Christmas music, bake some cookies, try to get out and ski the yard. Don’t get me wrong, I’m completely okay with 60s and sun, but if it’s gotta be 40s and gray, let’s go all the way.

Hit 58 on the slopes at Chestnut in northwest IL. Their base is pretty solid for the most part, about 3-5’ on most runs, but today sure was eating at it. This winter sucked, but it seemed like less rain events than the much better late half of winter 18/19, which kept the ski areas manmade snow in okay shape. Unlike the majority I will be the voice of dissent and say never summer, don’t want to see winter go.

A few snowscape pics from last night in Wausau, WI. Seems like all our posters these days with a few exceptions are from semi and northern IL. Central Wis got a nice snowpack replenisher with this system. Came up here powder chasing again and while the snow was a little wetter than I prefer it was buttery smooth to ski on.

Good thing, the rainier glacier has been releasing more than it recharges ever year for the past 50.

-sn northeast of rockford

Not in the sub, but the spigot has shutoff in Colorado, at least for now, and so the snowpack is transforming into a fragile structure, developing facets that will probably produce some big slides after the snow comes back, as they’ll be the trigger layer for sliding. Thought I’d share as it’s interesting stuff, though not really a topic we’ll ever get the chance to discuss here, except maybe this season, at the rate we’re going ;-)

Little Switz in mke is turning their lifts this weekend, Tyrol Basin in Madison opened their terrain park last weekend, Lutsen is already open, almost a lock alpine valley will open next weekend, no problem making snow in this environment, granite peak in wausau opens next weekend. The area ski hills have had record late seasons with the lingering cold into spring the past few seasons, now getting open about as early as possible this season - should be another good year for snow sports enthusiasts.

Yes. The past several days I’ve been noticing most annual ground plants and bushes around here (Winnebago county IL on the WI state line) are either done or turning. A bush in our yard that always turns blaze orange after the first hard freeze, usually into October, is orange, etc. I had to ask myself if we got down into the low 30s last week but I know we didn’t. Sunshine was hard to come by this past week, I don’t know if the decreasing day length, reduced solar energy due to diminishing sun angle, and cloud cover maybe put together a triple whammy to cut the growing season a little short? No sign of tree changes yet other than the typical minor leaf shed that is right on schedule. I’m a little over a solid degree latitude under you, so our observations could be entirely localized and different...

Here in Rockford August opens with an average high/low of 83.6/62.5 and closes with 80.5/58.8. September opens with 80.3/58.5 and closes with 69.5/45.8. August opens with a day length of 14:26:49 and closes at 13:11. September opens with 13:09 and closes with 11:47. September starts out the first ten days or so as a continuation of August, but then things start happening in a hurry. The shorter days start getting noticeable. The pretty large dip in average high produces some of the most spectacular days a given year has to offer, usually somewhere around 9/15 through 10/5 or so. Bluebird skies, highs in the 70s, very low humidity, smells of earth and fall. I love winter, but that short stretch of fall takes a close second.

August usually seems to be one of the dullest months. To each their own of course, but even just numbers wise - averages don’t change much through the month, outside of tracking tropical remnants just a pretty boring month weather wise. Guess we should go see what Frankie says winter will bring: https://unofficialnetworks.com/2019/07/19/official-2020-winter-weather-forecast/amp/

Discussion on trough and cool down mid week, Skilling and LOT. Lot: Sfc ridge axis will move south of area early in the week allowing more of a westerly gradient to develop and keep laking cooling at bay. Upper trough will dig into the Great Lakes region mid-late week with a return to below average temps/humidity. Cold front along the leading edge of the cooler less humid air mass cold bring some showers and t-storms to the area later Monday night through Tuesday night. At this time it looks like the best rain chances will be to our north Monday night with redevelopment later Tuesday focusing southern CWA or even points south. The modest/low precip chances offered up in the model blend seem reasonable at this point

Skilling posted a thorough Facebook post yesterday on the upcoming -nao and corresponding cooler temps as August arrives.