rcad1

Agree 100% 0z gfs was bad the 6z is even worse I hope this isn't the beginning of a trend. The gfs now has the low developing to far north and it's weak compared to yesterdays runs..

Looks like Karen has been developing a lot deep convection over the past several hours. Defiantly looks better organized now then it has fot most of yesterday!! Latest Recon as of 2am finds Karen just below TS strength with a pressure of 1006mb. Would expect it to be a TS again with the 5am discussion!!!!!!!!