WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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I’m wondering how much weaker the Gulf Stream has actually gotten and what effect that might be having on moisture not drawing up from the south and along the east coast. Matt used to comment (where in the world did he go and why ??) 15 years ago how models did so much better in ninos. He was correct and that correctness has un fortunately increased. Models are virtually helpless in Miller B dominated low pressure placements, movements and developments in Nina,no stj winters for mid Atlantic
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Jesus another two weeks away . We are now living in silly land entirely I beg you all that pay for this crap to stop and address the issues with the vendors
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A long time ago he had some sort of anonymity issue over something.
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It’s just freaking incredible
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It’s their design
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That is an absurd depiction
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Covered this at end of Dec as to the 7th then 14th then 21st being the magic moment . 7th out the door and 14th on life support so let’s head in the sand for the 21st. Models cannot predict low pressure placements and movements around the mid Atlantic in the winter. They are not outcome related forecasts, they are myriads of examples. That desperately needs to be resolved
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It’s probably going to have to get east of our longitude to really snow. Last night it came up about 2016 and thst was a long drawn out 0.5” event
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Yeah driving on 70 east of Frederick was near white out
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Yes and that’s an analog season for me
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Yes as depicted the low would have to be east of our longitude before snow will fall
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Did the monster storm 50 miles east of OC get taken off the board?
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That’s it!!
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2016?
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I swear 2016 lined up a lot like that top one . Went on snd on
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It’s a bit south of the classic passage point over Atlanta but at least it’s from the south
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Perfection is required for Miller B domination.. When a low comes up from Georgia and moves northeast like an A then very little perfection is needed. We don’t get As for almost 10 years now
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It’s best to never focus on days 1-15 and always hang hats on delayed fulfillment . Thanks for the invite
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The idea of a pronounced 30-45 day cold run was very good and since last 4 days of November thru today being 40 days it ends. 30 of 40 were below average including 21 in a row (Wow) and averaged -5. Snow has not shown up yet
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Painfully true which creates painful ignorance and outbursts from model worshippers
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So the 7th and 14th are out now for the delayed mantra? 21st looking better?
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For guidance
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We used to have so many participants here and hundreds and hundreds when a snow event was looming. Not nearly so nowdays and it’s not the nature of the participants but rather changing dynamics and clueless, unstable models
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Do you still believe in defending models ?
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Well I addressed the 1/7 onset date and the delay monster of 1/14 and 1/21 and got run out of town on rails . And as usual and as indicated it’s beginning to transpire. Models give examples of weather but not forecasts and “guidance” is a mere wish Let the fire bombing begin
