WEATHER53

In the glory of days of yore we got powdery mid 20’s snow but then the backlash cold would pour in and say snow ended 11am at 25 and then windy, blowing snow temps falling rest of day to 15 by dark. Be nice to see one of those

On Kent Island at 6:30 extremely heavy rain with zero visibility and hail. Everyone pulled over. Temp dropped 12 degrees in 5 minutes, lots of lightning. Even when we did drive again it was 30-40mph . Total event about 15 minutes or more

CAB

Any post storm(s) bitter cold graphics? Thanks.

Retired and gardening and playing with grandchildren. Hows that guy who would spray snow into his yard? Jaime I think?

I believe that going out in time and trying to sharpen coverage areas has not increased positive performances . past 3 days we need binoculars or the naked eye and not a microscope. The zooming in creates a cover all bases modality instead of a more precise and consistent one

I expect suppression to be indicated repeatedly as this is extreme cold . However we can have 30.55 extreme cold which is suppressive or 30.25-35 which is not. That gets revealed 12-18 hours in advance. Location of the high vital also. On or <100 miles south SSW of tip of Hudson /James bay is ideal. The further east and south it centers itself not as good. Pittsburgh colder than Boston shows we have very good cold air support west of DC

Were any of the 2009/10 real coldies

How have you been?

The facts get to you don’t they There are a few other negative Nellie’s considered charming . Model fact addresses not charming it appears it’s part of a weather discussion to discuss recent and ongoing blown model samples. It’s not all hopes and wishes We get to 3 days remaining and a low IS coming near Atlanta and heading northeast then we got something to latch onto. Models even blew it last year within 24 hours after we had the one good Jan event. I remember this and thus don’t rely on a myriad of examples showing low out to sea, over Norfolk, over DC or cutting into the lakes.

Cover all bases and claim confirmation after the result

And that is the absurd changes were often experience. It would be insane to not be skeptical . Hopeful is warranted but more to it than wants snd wishes

Might have to find a place for post event oyster slurping .

They don’t sneak up on us. You are completely correct. But they overforecast many events that never come to fruition. That’s what brings criticism

Mongolian reload and that region has been consistently producing for a month. Now the examples need to get to within 5 days to see if a low is coming up from the south A style. The transfer/phase jobs rarely work here

I think that’s the one from 94 where 22F at onset and not one flake but lots of sleet and freezing rain

The too cold is two tiered if the high is pretty close to southern extreme of Hudson Bay then we are good. The further south it centers itself, then suppression becomes an issue.

Can you post that map

If he had tried 2.5 year old talk, you would have gotten it

That box hadn’t been checked yet. I feel powerful forces in the works

Mongolia reloading and send us some moisture please merry happy hollerdaze

However It’s starting to become another replay. Things look great in the 10+ day and as time approaches the delay begins and the denial follows . Until and unless there is a serious push like the NHC has perfected, we will continue to get this mish mash of cover every base examples that really don’t Predict anything

It’s an Atlanta traversed low. If that holds it looking like an A and not all the jumping around that non productive Bs go thru

Yes Enso does not work at all like it used to. Most of the rest like SSW and MJO still under study. What does still prevail is the NAO and AO and the historical cold supplying region being in play . Models can’t tell if a low is off Norfolk or over Pittsburgh beyond 4 days so that hampers tremendously. At the very least we are having less cold absence so far

Increasing clouds at sunset which often messes up temp drops but with low dews and days of cold we will still radiate . Stated talking about this one days ago when nothing on the horizon. Good cloud flows from gulf now so expect to see the ante upped as time goes on