WEATHER53

Low of 19 and currently a cold 24.

Keep watching. Precip now nearing Lexington KY

This is really cold again with 22 and breezes still up

31.2 here at 6pm after a high of 32.8

It’s just too hard for them to produce anything useful more than 30% of the time in snow situations. What they provide though is very exciting and even addictive

Yes Land breeze at both with DCA only real developed mass solely to west and that’s non industrial Crystal City . Annapolis actually should be 2-3 degrees milder than DCA but it’s Always lower

DCA an embarrassment again 7 degrees warmer than Big Bay Body of water Annapolis and 5 higher than very close by Andrews.

Watching the radar show good northeast move on precip until about Arkansas and then more due east . 30.30 baro in DC not historically suppressive

So hurricanes dont have elements too difficult to handle , They can’t even steer themselves yet their landings and intensities are nearly perfectly predicted . If winter storms are just too much to handle then maybe accept that or implement a more effective time frame like 3-4 days out only.

One method of improvement would be to shorten the time frame length of prediction The wind events we’ve had twice in last two weeks were perfectly handled because nothing was said until 3 days in advance. The most recent models failure began about 10 days ago with an impulse traversing the nation and supposedly setting off low pressure down south that comes up here. Too speculative that’s DC would get a bomb based on 7/8 days of required perfection as that impulse traverses the nation. Models can’t perform in mid Atlantic for wintry precip that far out and in those circumstances . So cut it out. For some reason NHC does not have such problems. Excuses are that it’s just all too complex. So just eliminate what can’t be done accurately and don’t latch onto impulse Before they even come ashore out west . Wait until 3/4 days out and something is actually existing on this half side of the country

33.6F still windy at 25* gusts but 40’s 50’s over and it was fun when on . Wind chill rough now,

It’s a good question and yes right around here does pose problems that all snow Buffalo or no snow Myrtle Beach do not. However it seems like that could be recognized and programmed in. There is No Doubt they have problems with winter frozen in the mid Atlantic that they do not have in other regions nor with other precip types and weather event types for the mid Atlantic

Thank you. When it shows 20” and two days later zero, what am I supposed to learn and take with me as to their value?

Do you believe that models are efficient with mid Atlantic winter storms? You provide great commentary and I bring Ernest and not trying to stir up

Down to 36.5 at 5pm after a high of 39.5

We can just watch it performing even worse.

37F full sun not bad but shade and these winds feels like 25 at best

I expected protect the supplier pushback. What the name for that? Starts with an “a”

It’s a tough fact to face that after two decades Im pulling away from this. Did not even look at 11pm updates last night and already had cut it down to twice a day anyway . Models can’t do their job as far as frozen storms in the mid Atlantic. Some will defend adamantly the supplier as selling good shit or I use it wrongly but is easy to see what that smacks of. Carry on but this broken record of repeat poor performance is going nowhere while you still buy it .

Misdiagnosed to begin with

They put huge pressure on Pepco to trim trees and it has had excellent results

4pm update Three hat blow offs in last 10 minutes so I’m now home slice with hat on backward. More later

The first car shaker just hit me at 3:34pm

Now a downpour. Let’s see what temp does

Winds started at 3:15 and now temp falling