WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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Yea and now we know
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And lack of stj influence means lack of Miller As to run into our cold air at the right time and from the snow making direction
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And more Mongolian push reloading
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1994 wasn’t as long as 77 but it was coldest . Only time in my life the precip started off st 23,and not one flake nor fleet. There were several weird ice events and that one day where I was 11at 7am and 11 at 11am and 1 at 5pm with my low record of -7 overnight The back to back Cold Sundays of 1982 are record makers also
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I think the majority of the ones that go our way start out 37 and rain. The push of colder is our friend .
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Where do you see that?
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Long long time ago and DCA would register +10 to +15 to that if that sort of air mass would arrive today. I think that location may have been in NW then or Navy yard. I think they had been taking temps since 1877?
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I think that might be the time that BWI had a high of 18 for three days in a row?
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I dont know the mechanics but when Mongo is in the pink and especially the deeper pinks/reds then that cold air almost always bullies its way to us . And again Im not sure why but when the long wave is as you stated, the Mongo region is in the blue already anyway . Probably not cause and effect yet it is consistent Many of us who started in 60’s didn’t have the tools that exist now. We kinda had to learn how to forecast from the ground up. It’s not exactly appropriate to this discussion but may shed light I think on how we end up in “conflict” at times. Thanks for the question
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500 mb current maps and then allow 8 ish days for it to arrive here when the set up is correct there. Does not matter much what’s downstream, that higher pressure will work down here. This method allows for observation of actual current weather and I can forecast from decades of observational experience and outcomes what will occur next with this aspect . It’s not microscopic with 30 outcomes changing every 6 hours. It’s a binocular style approach covering just that one single aspect that works very effectively for outcomes in our region as yo cold air Thank you for asking
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The Mongolian resource has stayed in play with no shutdown looming and reasserts again this weekend . Just gotta get a southern Miller A and not the to our west junk that the models can’t handle
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12/15 Possible I81 event. First inch of the season out here?
WEATHER53 replied to clskinsfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Heavy snow Frederick and34 and mixed in Kemp Mill and 38 -
Self appointed comments corrector
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OMG Speaking badly about models and departing group adulation? Thank the Lord NHC does not present 30 different outcomes every 12 hours. From Daytona to Galveston ground zero. Need some more fact and outcome based discussions and pressure to bring about changes.
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We know all too well how the biggies turn out as we get within 24-72 hours The only manner that works for us now is the rare Miller A. Phase jobs and transfers always had poor results around here yet snowstorms are constantly forecasted from them. They don’t occur. Let’s hope we can get a modest organized rain storm from Atlanta that moves northeast into cold air over us. That does work
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25+ temp drops in 10 hours mega front. Winds picked up last 90 minutes gust to 40. Gotta get a Miller A
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Suns out. It’s so bad now that models can’t even get winter rains correct within 24 hours
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Was this not to be an all day raining?
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Keep in mind the thing about free speech . This is a weather discussion board-all aspects and components of weather. You model worshippers are stuck with no ability to discuss anything other than what models give to you. They are inefficient as far as the One aspect and one aspect only that I identify-wintertime low pressure placements for eastern 1/3 of nation. that needs correction and I will continue to address that reality. Mostly what I do is observations, with models a small segment of what I say, and I’m here 365 unlike the snow bunnies so I will keep talking as I see fit
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Total greatness in cold source region
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Model whiff number one picking right back up where it left off. Sundays snows miss with low being 250 miles off and temps 10-15 degrees milder. Thank goodness NHC is not like this but I imagine far more money and effort is put into them getting it right because of the dire consequences
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But isn’t it hard for remote cabins down a lane?
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But you use it some now? How do you get water and septic and electric?
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And this cabin is new for you this year?
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Talked about this DCA is now 0-2F from others . Strong winds mixes it up so no radiational is necessary. Interesting..
