Yes Enso does not work at all like it used to. Most of the rest like SSW and MJO still under study. What does still prevail is the NAO and AO and the historical cold supplying region being in play . Models can’t tell if a low is off Norfolk or over Pittsburgh beyond 4 days so that hampers tremendously. At the very least we are having less cold absence so far
Increasing clouds at sunset which often messes up temp drops but with low dews and days of cold we will still radiate . Stated talking about this one days ago when nothing on the horizon. Good cloud flows from gulf now so expect to see the ante upped as time goes on
Increasing clouds right at sunset which often is real bad for radiational but with these low dews we will still drop but not as much
High of 34.2
Currently 33/16
WWA is up
Departing. Mongolia air masses are different. This high is not moving off mid Atlantic, more like off Boston . This isn’t a 1994 set up which gave us freezing with no snow at 22F. Look for a surprise when the precip starts
2pm update
left kemp mill and it had stopped and 36
then rain in college park and 38
now at ravens stadium and 37 and mixed
weak radiance of 1-2F is fading now
more later
Steady snow at prime sun time and 37F. Rate of 0.5 to 0.75” ph if it could accumulate . Departing mongol air masses are different than others. We had one about 10 years ago that looked all rain but it was of the Hoard and we got 4” and then it just drizzled pizzled. out
Talking about Jan 12-17 Mr Tomer is bullshit
We have wised up to the always 15-20 days away crap that murdered last winter
Also I don’t see more than 1-2 days of warmth coming up oscillating with some very good cold .No 5-10 days of awful warmth