WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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After today DCA will be -10 for December with 16 consecutive below average days including Nov.
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Since Thanksgiving I discussed 12/5 and then 12/21 showing up analog wise. Also stated no true and lengthy warm up until 12/27 at earliest. For sure we won’t stay in 20’s and 30’s every day but Christmas 60’s that were egregiously model indicated won’t happen although 40’s into 50’s might for 2-4 days
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Low of 15 Minimum wind chill of 0. Currently 24 Doubt I exceed 27
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9pm. 18.5F nw 20 WC 1.6
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8pm 19F . NW 19 WC 4 The post noon high was 27.8 which would be a record if it was The high . That’s a -20 departure which are hard to come by round these here parts
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5pm 23F NW 20. WC 8
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25F. Northwest wind 20 WC 11
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No but Kemp Mill shopping center close by is where it all started
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1.70 in .Kemp Mill 3.5 in Frederick
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37.7 and cl.
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I drove in those roads going thru the fields in the ne from West. To Man after Snowmaggedon and it was 4-5’ everywhere
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44.7 for a high and 41.3 now so temps didnt rise with cloud cover. I’ve seen it the other way plenty and it hurt us. Tomorrow could be wild in a lot of ways as if it really is down to 20-22 at sunset and still gusting to 35, sustained 20-25 then that’s bitter and maybe blowing snow? It’s like I’m time traveling
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Anybody else see that orange shaft of ligh from the sun at sunset ?
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I think we are going to get some solid blowing snow. Not into drifts but the ground up to 10 feet should be swirly whirly
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I had a green one that looked like a Borg ship cube
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I’m getting a “ Delayed but….” Feeling for the onset of rain to snow
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Snow covered when it was so cold?
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These that start out drizzly and light rain , when they mix and changeover there is usually good energy following Plus when snow ends Sunday and it’s very windy 20-30 gusting to 40; 2” would be enough to blow around well
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Phase jobs mostly don’t work for DC but can for Balt and northeast. What happened to this being a fairly narrow strip of precip to now to a B style coastal transfer ?
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So we had a good projection but the problem is in 6 hours the examples will be very different. Won’t build on this run, won’t increase, and will revert back to 0-2. Thus , come verification time (if this is even employed anymore) the range of 0-4” will be confirmed
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Now model forecasting is not in this mechanical vein although models in general do not make predictions nor forecasts but rather examples. They “guide” us. Where they guide us to is unknown. Whether it’s mechanical or poor information distribution, all those paying for models should be up in arms and in stern contact with the providers
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Good work January and Feb 61 and 62 were cold. Probably gotta add +3/4 to equate to now but still below average. Muddled models be damned, observations and analogs Continue to show real cold for Jan and definitely not mild for Feb
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31.5 for a high after a 14 low, both if which are seasonal cold records.
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14 for my low and wonder if any records got set. i think ive had some winters where i never got to 14 for the entire winter
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Both years still showing up and idea I shared earlier in this thread if a 30-45 day pronounced cold run is still in play and underway. By the end of Dec (29-31) we will be at 30 days and will see if it extends further Don’t worry about model confusions, Christmas 20-27 will not be a torch
