WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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36 for low in White Oak and 32 Frederick
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Seemed like I would get it around 7 but held up and 8:15 wham with 15 minutes heavy and .25” gust to 35 and 5 impressive but not close thunders
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88 for a high yesterday and 65 peak afternoon high today
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88 fir a high
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You getting this big jet flying over and over. Ken either?
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Ok so the last 5 day away cool shit prediction was 5-7F too cool. This Saturday has been ranging 53-55 for Saturday high predictions so let’s see how this cool shot prediction goes
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2.4” final here
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Downpouring again
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Because Things don’t always work like a model showing 40k shear ripping things apart . So I look at what’s been happening last 25 year that’s different than 25 before that . These storms intensify or hold their own moving onshore or onto land now. I just don’t remember that from 50’s into 90’s You mentioned how it can align some with the shear direction and does not weaken as much . .
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Yet the shear drum bangers are redoubling and still crying “shear”
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Most here know way more than me so I ask questions but there is No Doubt that 80% of the discussions yesterday had this ripped apart by shear. In fact and once again it’s strengthened and will maintain intensity at landfall which used to be a definite rarity
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Last night a lot of talk about how it would not get this strong and fall apart quick. It’s a new age now and a great increase in hurricanes that maintain and even strengthen at landfall
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I dropped 25F in 3.5 hours 10 F drop 9-10. 64 to 54
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After it gets to Sunday 7am position does it turn more eastward?
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But this is the latest forming first hurricane of season ever?
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Can you tell me what were other times that a hurricane formed in that general area after start of October? Thanks
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The home brew hit in September
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High of 71.5 after chilly low of 44 got down to 37.5 at Frederick house
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Yeah me and a buddy were going to that game and watched the snow instead from our balcony . About 1.5” in Beltsville with huge amounts out in Skyline
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We are going to be very good this winter. 2002-03 keeps showing up. That means the general pattern more than one huge storm but such storm is not discounted I also look at first half of October as to how far off NWS and others are in predicting below average temps in the 5+ day prior to. This cool shot prediction had DC in upper 50’s for highs initially which verified more like 63-64 so about 5/6 degrees off .
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High of 73 but driest day in a long time and got a big indoor humidity drop with doors and windows open from 68% to 38%.
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85 for my high
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Many of the indexes that were so reliable , like Enso, just don’t function the same over last 25 years. AO and NAO are still very viable and important . In my 62-63 analog I think Feb was like -9. Things from that time I add +3 to +4 to . If it’s 82-83 then I add+2 or +3. 2002-03 then +1 and maybe +2
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Hey there
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WEATHER53 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
That’s over a 15 foot shear!!
