WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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Perfection is required for Miller B domination.. When a low comes up from Georgia and moves northeast like an A then very little perfection is needed. We don’t get As for almost 10 years now
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It’s best to never focus on days 1-15 and always hang hats on delayed fulfillment . Thanks for the invite
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The idea of a pronounced 30-45 day cold run was very good and since last 4 days of November thru today being 40 days it ends. 30 of 40 were below average including 21 in a row (Wow) and averaged -5. Snow has not shown up yet
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Painfully true which creates painful ignorance and outbursts from model worshippers
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So the 7th and 14th are out now for the delayed mantra? 21st looking better?
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For guidance
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We used to have so many participants here and hundreds and hundreds when a snow event was looming. Not nearly so nowdays and it’s not the nature of the participants but rather changing dynamics and clueless, unstable models
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Do you still believe in defending models ?
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Well I addressed the 1/7 onset date and the delay monster of 1/14 and 1/21 and got run out of town on rails . And as usual and as indicated it’s beginning to transpire. Models give examples of weather but not forecasts and “guidance” is a mere wish Let the fire bombing begin
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Is every road paved now leading into main area?
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Tug Hill Special . I remember going way up in the hills where a gas station log cabin and some houses were and sledding the roads. Matt, Chuck , Me and couple more . Never seen such darkness at 1pm when it’s snow so hard 3-4”ph there
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High of 31 in Kemp Mill and 29 Frederick. Snow still on ground in Frederick
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12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
WEATHER53 replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice coating everywhere one full shade spot still has a “drift” 29F -
We stayed at whatever hotel is first one on right in Pulaski off81 in epic Feb 2007 event
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35.5 for high and 29.3 currently
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Much ballyhooed “winter over” torch comprised of 4 days with 7,8,9 plus departures in a month with six double digit negatives and 22 of the 31 days negative values
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This is true. Miller As which used to occur 50% of the time and models did well with are about 15% now and models always were mostly helpless with Bs for DC area. Bs have 12 hour prediction of off Hatteras and next presentation over Pittsburgh and repeat cycle everywhere in between. They never have really gotten the idea that most Bs have precip shield too far NE of DC. So we continue to get a lot of sample and example but zero consistency for any predictions
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CAB is very much alive and well despite protests over saying so
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End up 16 consecutive hours 35+
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57 at 12 noon and 32 11 hours later so 12 hour 25+ degree drop mega front i may have a 20 year furniture toss on back patio . Something big sustained as one is upright stil but moved 6 feet and another tossed about 10 and more scatter
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BWI 10 consecutive hours gusts 35*. Rough drive down 95 south last hour
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Yep as I suggested. First it was the 7th, now 14th, next up 21 then Guaranteed Rockin Feb. Thats simply how it works now.
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Just gotta avoid the infamous delay pattern onset . Right now it looks like 1/7-1/10. If that starts to become 1/15 then 1/20 then we are underway with a problem once again
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Sleet in Kemp Mill and 31.5 and sleet in Frederick and 30
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You will do good so pics please
