WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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Going back to 11/27/25 when first cold shit hit thru yesterday, 60 of those 75 days have been at or below average . Three -20 departures DCA and many double digits. I could not find a colder 7 day in 1977 than this year. 1977 blew away about every other cold record
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
WEATHER53 replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
This concept is solid but lack of participation exemplifies the model hugging and loving -
This is why it’s not science. It’s example giving guesswork with so many outcomes that one will surely hit and funding for status quo can continue. Now the chest puffers who never otherwise pist here will be whistled in soon but models are not weather forecasting tools. They mostly exist to perpetuate themselves. It’s fine that many many more than me enjoy that modality just as it’s fine that I think it’s bogus . And I’ve offered solid alternatives in the past, not just observation .
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4.5-5.5 kemp mill area
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And this is what’s wrong with models.
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Low of 9 in kemp mill and frigid minus 2 in Frederick
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
WEATHER53 replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
It has been so much fun in last two weeks to post actual, real weather events, outcomes, obs and discussions . It’s really what got these weather boards underway back in the day. 240-360 hour explosions over models is boring and generally futile and discouraging. But it was mostly the only thing going for years. This year we had winter weather!! -
The 17 is low enough that it “fixes” the 34 to not be a terrible cheap high.
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16F and winds still 25 sustained and gusts 35+ but not the roaring 50 we had this afternoon.
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I was up on some elevated school lot in new market and that wind from the open fields was just crazy with the 40-50 gusts. Gusts dont count for wind chill but it not a bad value to put out there and it’s a frigid half second lashing with extra penetration of layers
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At 10:45 am 14F. Which is up one degree since 7am . NW wind 25 gusting to 40 and had a 53moh gust overnight
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3:20 am Another dusting snd winds starting up and 30.5
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Light snow resumed 2:27am
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Where is the front Countdown ? chime in please
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All that will be blown over to Kent island if we get these crazy winds. I think once in 1994 chunks like that got blown into the channel by Harris Crab house and caused some problems
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I mean this is forecasted to be legendary cold front wind and cold so gotta think it rings out moisture in a burst
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0.3-0.4”
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Thank you
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It’s here and gonna have to dry up or swerve to miss you 8 miles away Bigger flakes
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Bigger flakes with this batch
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Now this may not be as great as it sounds because if not covered the wind would have blown it into next week!!
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Batch two we discussed about to move in and then that’s it. But, I think the moment of blast thru overnight gives us a burst
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Anybody got a real solid time line frontal passage like Frederick to Silver Spring to Camp Sorings? Thanks
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High quality pizza in a serious winter event just Tastes Better
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Randerroo -I’m noticing nw to se now and less w to e plus another batch around Frederick so I think it keeps going 30-60 more minutes
