WEATHER53

I know that many do enjoy the 10+ I don’t think it’s actual “tracking” because it’s mostly a mirage . So many times it’s just herky jerky every 6 hours and then zip and rarely a solid hit that the”agony of defeat” wiped away the thrills of victory many years ago

He thinks he’s cute when doing it plus already an identified back stabber

Thanks. I would say if things really can’t be forecasted with some normal scientific precision standards beyond X number of days then why do it? I know why but it brings out the protect the supply chest thumpers of all sorts. It’s because 268 hour snow monsters Sell. There is a myth that NOAA/NWS are “above all that” Do what can be done and take a broader view approach. That one set of graphs where lines are running everywhere is like reading the human genome chart Weather forecasting needs new blood with new ideas.

This is a big admission that a number should heed. Even 5 days out waffles all over the place but the 10+ day stuff is absolute chicanery

The melancholy afflicted always have to play their despondent hand

The birthing grounds of greatness

Going back to 11/27/25 when first cold shit hit thru yesterday, 60 of those 75 days have been at or below average . Three -20 departures DCA and many double digits. I could not find a colder 7 day in 1977 than this year. 1977 blew away about every other cold record

This concept is solid but lack of participation exemplifies the model hugging and loving

This is why it’s not science. It’s example giving guesswork with so many outcomes that one will surely hit and funding for status quo can continue. Now the chest puffers who never otherwise pist here will be whistled in soon but models are not weather forecasting tools. They mostly exist to perpetuate themselves. It’s fine that many many more than me enjoy that modality just as it’s fine that I think it’s bogus . And I’ve offered solid alternatives in the past, not just observation .

4.5-5.5 kemp mill area

And this is what’s wrong with models.

Low of 9 in kemp mill and frigid minus 2 in Frederick

It has been so much fun in last two weeks to post actual, real weather events, outcomes, obs and discussions . It’s really what got these weather boards underway back in the day. 240-360 hour explosions over models is boring and generally futile and discouraging. But it was mostly the only thing going for years. This year we had winter weather!!

The 17 is low enough that it “fixes” the 34 to not be a terrible cheap high.

16F and winds still 25 sustained and gusts 35+ but not the roaring 50 we had this afternoon.

I was up on some elevated school lot in new market and that wind from the open fields was just crazy with the 40-50 gusts. Gusts dont count for wind chill but it not a bad value to put out there and it’s a frigid half second lashing with extra penetration of layers

At 10:45 am 14F. Which is up one degree since 7am . NW wind 25 gusting to 40 and had a 53moh gust overnight

3:20 am Another dusting snd winds starting up and 30.5

Light snow resumed 2:27am

Where is the front Countdown ? chime in please

All that will be blown over to Kent island if we get these crazy winds. I think once in 1994 chunks like that got blown into the channel by Harris Crab house and caused some problems

I mean this is forecasted to be legendary cold front wind and cold so gotta think it rings out moisture in a burst

0.3-0.4”

Thank you

It’s here and gonna have to dry up or swerve to miss you 8 miles away Bigger flakes