WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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CAB in effect as now 2.5 days out. i no longer rely on models for anything nearly specific and just the very general low to our south which may be string or weak and may curl up the coast or go out to sea. All possibilities will be shown so models score well come verification of outcome This last event was a departing high off Maine and that showed early and that’s what happened . Never good for us.
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The low as depicted is somewhat se and we need it more like around Norfolk rather than central outer banks.
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That high is near perfection
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This is the event the analogs had me chirping about since Thanksgiving. After yet Another wobbly model output right up to the last minute(remember the dryness insertion) I’ll just follow analogs. Another good historical opportunity 12/20-12/21 anytime anything goes under us we don’t have the temp issue and it’s only a matter of qpf so this one has and does look real good
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Frederick house had a mix for several hours at 30/31 but no accumulating snow and Kemp Mill rain and 34/35
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They talk back
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I’m higher than most at 34.5 but still low dewpoint at 22. Frederick has radiated crazy to 25/23.
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I’m older than I look
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Right now faster is better and that’s kinda a theme for DC as I’ve watched for the years, decades, century, millennium…..
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Yes So many we anre already dead with warnings remaining in effect after a 48 degree day that got cloudy at 2pm and it’s 41 at 9pm with warnings still in effect and the dew is 30. Agonizing to know we are already dead but public still really wound up
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Clouds really slow coming in and we don’t want that to backfire and have precip come in really late like after 9am
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41.5 for the high 39 at 5pm 35 at 8pm
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When clouds come in 1-2 hours after dark, the radiation is not complete and we rise a couple of degrees. If it’s still fully clear like 7:30 then generally we stay steady when full clouds take over
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43.5 for the high 42 at 4pm 39.5 at 5pm
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They issued that before this last minute model do over
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Getting to the point that even 18 hours out now draws wildly varying and changing presentation outlooks
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High not running off coast as fast
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Get ready for 5th and 6th !
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Decent snow in Frederick for about an hour earlier
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Already down to 33 at Frederick house
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Clouds still couple hours away and looks like to me when humidity gets90%+ with precip it’s going to be about 29 around DC beltway
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Euro sure did
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Looking at cloud mass movement it look like 9 hours until rapidly increasing clouds commence so 8-9 pm
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Time now for snowier solutions cycle to reappear
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24 for a low watching when the cloud cover comes in and the dews. If we can drop back to about 32 when cloud cover takes over the dews should be about 22 and that would make an interesting precip onset later on
