jrips27
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Everything posted by jrips27
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While we wait for new model runs and a new SPC outlook. Always surreal to look back and read the 4/27/11 thread on here. All hell started breaking lose around page 19... Not saying this will be anything like that event, but just in case anyone has some time to kill...
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Hail threat really busted today as well. Spent 45 minutes getting squeezing three cars into a two car garage here just east of Birmingham for nothing lol. BMX was saying tennis balls. I don’t think I saw any reports of anything bigger than quarter sized?
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BMX is cancelling western counties from the Tornado Watch so doesn’t seem like they are buying that. Seems pretty far-fetched. Can’t imagine there being much juice left.
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Around Birmingham, it just never felt like things destabilized that much. We never got any sunshine and the temp never got to 70. That afternoon rain and I think the overall clutter of everything really limited this thing from taking off. Still a ways to go so curious to see if things take off again soon. Is it just me or is the main show moving ahead of schedule?
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The motion on Spanns stream is insane
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Sitting at 64 with moderate rain just east of Birmingham. Hopefully this puts a lid on the ceiling for the Birmingham metro at least for the afternoon window. It’s almost chilly out.
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From NWS Birmingham
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BMX new graphic. I'm just east of Birmingham for this one... looks really rough.
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High risk issued. Waiting on the map
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Moderate for Day 2
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The Caryville, LaFollette, Jellico area looks the worst on Google Maps. Any cameras in these areas?
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Pounding in Clayton, GA right now. Roads caving.
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GSP new map. I’ll be heading up to Clayton, GA to see some snow
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NAM delivers the early morning goods
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I'll take the general Euro look any day. Details will be fine-tuned later. However... oof
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Stupid cold on the GFS. Valentine’s Day highs across the SE struggle to break 20. Here’s morning of 2/14
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Like others have said, think the thing to takeaway is that there’s definitely a threat for a potential long duration event next weekend. Upside could be quite high in terms of snow/ice totals if the cards fall right. Let’s see if the EPS signal increases. Longggg ways to go (see the model changes inside 96 hours for this weekend)
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Wider ZR view of the whole region. Ouch
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57 hours on the 12z NAM
