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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
  2. FlatLander48
    +1 for the ICON. Consistently showed a stronger s/w compared to the other models.
  3. FlatLander48
    Precip max on that map is from Charlotte to the eastern foothills...not the mountains.
  4. FlatLander48
    Here comes the 0z GFS...prepare the bottom of the cliff just in case for some people lol.
  5. FlatLander48
    Have we hit the models losing the storm period yet?
  6. FlatLander48
    Anything past 48 hours you take with a grain of salt...But that shear has me worried, it tore the s/w apart.
  7. FlatLander48
    I'm hoping so if this one doesn't pan out well. November and December were abysmal for us up here, especially for the ski slopes. We're in the best part of winter and the ski resorts don't have all the slopes open.
  8. FlatLander48
    Well I haven't mentioned it much except in the mountains thread, but the 18z just made me realize I'm out of the storm completely right now.
  9. FlatLander48
    Where are the people that were doing the hash tag #NWtrend or something like that? I need your love for the next couple of days.
  10. FlatLander48
    Not yet. I have a feeling...
  11. FlatLander48
    I need that NW jump. Not a nudge.
  12. FlatLander48
    As they should at this point.
  13. FlatLander48
    Someone is gonna get their heart broke with this storm...
  14. FlatLander48
    I think he's trying.
  15. FlatLander48
    I'm sure it will, they all do at some point. My point is once again we don't have a real consensus in the modeling. The high/low pressure locations keep changing, ridging keeps fluctuating, timing is all over the place as well as speed and moisture. Until some of these appear to be closer to an agreement in the modeling, we have to stop focusing SO much attention to where it snows and how much.
  16. FlatLander48
    Everyone NW of the 12z gfs complaining the sweet spot isn't in their backyard. Don't they know we always get that NW jog as we get closer? You should be cheering you're not ground zero. And yesterday afternoon we were nowhere near a winter storm, had to go up to DC to see snow. Any run that shows a storm anywhere in the southeast is a win at this point.
  17. FlatLander48
    Here's another way. Pretty sure all the bad winter storms have at least one DGEX crush job as well.
  18. FlatLander48
    +1 accuracy for my gut btw. Would be +2 but the good news came too fast.
  19. FlatLander48
    I feel like I'm the only one calm on the entire forum...not that that's necessarily a good or bad thing lol. But it would be very easy for the 6z/12z runs to go back to abysmal like yesterday's runs.. Not even remotely getting my hopes up yet.
  20. FlatLander48
    Midnight models pulling people up the cliff faster than gravity can push them down. But....does it last?
  21. FlatLander48
    Great explanation Pack, appreciate it.
  22. FlatLander48
    I'll give up 96 hours out if it doesn't change. But not a minute sonner.
  23. FlatLander48
    Thought the Nina was pretty much dead?
  24. FlatLander48
    Something will have to change because Boone and blowing rock weren't even really in it on the midday runs...
  25. FlatLander48
    Gut feeling says were not quite done with this system yet. Not saying it will happen, but I bet we get 1 or 2 good model runs a couple days from now. Always happens at least once.
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