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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
    Based on surface maps on the 0z GFS, the only difference is that the HP is slightly SW compared to 18z. the LP placement appears on 0z sunday on the 9th the exact same as the 18z.
  2. FlatLander48
    I did as soon as I posted my last thought. Guess It's over for me now.
  3. FlatLander48
    Absolutely glorious.
  4. FlatLander48
    If I see another person use the word "trend" after one model run, I'm going to croak.
  5. FlatLander48
    Already bought an extra large tub of popcorn. This week is going to be fun. In more ways than one lol
  6. FlatLander48
    Let's also remember a warmer miller B transition is still possible, and could very easily happen.
  7. FlatLander48
    On this run, the NC coast still gets obliterated with rain and surge, and since the Storm moves SW, it goes over hot gulf stream waters and re intensifies quickly. Take verbatim, it's an awful run.
  8. FlatLander48
    120. makes a 45 degree turn straight to the heart of Charleston.
  9. FlatLander48
    Hour 108...Headed to Georgia...maybe even southern Georgia.
  10. FlatLander48
    Maybe premature. but GFS through 96 is what could be considered the worst scenario, a long stall just off the coast, then a small trek SW over new warm Gulf stream waters before making landfall.(If it does?)
  11. FlatLander48
    Hour 90, still has not made official landfall. Looks to be moving SSW from 84 to 90.
  12. FlatLander48
    12z GFS hour 6 has a pressure at 961 when it is already in the 940's. 12z Icon at the beginning of the run is in the 970's. seems that NO model is handling the rapid strengthening of the storm anywhere near accurately. Gonna shock me if it doesn't hit cat 5 by this evening.
  13. FlatLander48
    So , not gonna post pictures since it's still loading. but 18z GFS is pushing a Harvey scenario with an almost stall on the obx.
  14. FlatLander48
    Here's my turn to vent. If I go to Florida on March 3rd and have to live in 40's and 50's on my spring break I'm never rooting for winter again. Ever.
  15. FlatLander48
    i'm just glad I'm not having to worry about it in the mountains. though I'm probably gonna chase this one if it does venture a bit more west.
  16. FlatLander48
    ...why Am I even looking at the models, I could be doing healthier things, like drinking.
  17. FlatLander48
    I Have decided to listen to the song "Dig Down" by muse while watching the model runs. I think you can guess why.
  18. FlatLander48
    Went ahead and made travel plans for New Years, just so I have something to look forward to when we lose that storm too.
  19. FlatLander48
    This is pathetic, but still not as bad as knowing all my Christmas money is going straight to a new muffler for my car. Actually no, this is worse.
  20. FlatLander48
    My boss is a packers fan who was at the elimination game...work wasn't pleasant this week.
  21. FlatLander48
    Just hope my saints get to play them in round one so we can beat them for the third time this season
  22. FlatLander48
    Anyone heard anything about the CMC yet? Still not up on TT.
  23. FlatLander48
    top is 12z NAM, bottom is 18z, same time.
  24. FlatLander48
    At hour 60 on the 12z, you are exactly correct. Low is a bit west, but not by much.
  25. FlatLander48
    The thing to pay attention to as others have mentioned is if the GLL interacts more on other models as opposed to the NAM, that's one of the biggest factors right now. Trend is our favor right now, but that can easily change.
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