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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. Someone is gonna get their heart broke with this storm...
  2. I'm sure it will, they all do at some point. My point is once again we don't have a real consensus in the modeling. The high/low pressure locations keep changing, ridging keeps fluctuating, timing is all over the place as well as speed and moisture. Until some of these appear to be closer to an agreement in the modeling, we have to stop focusing SO much attention to where it snows and how much.
  3. Everyone NW of the 12z gfs complaining the sweet spot isn't in their backyard. Don't they know we always get that NW jog as we get closer? You should be cheering you're not ground zero. And yesterday afternoon we were nowhere near a winter storm, had to go up to DC to see snow. Any run that shows a storm anywhere in the southeast is a win at this point.
  4. Here's another way. Pretty sure all the bad winter storms have at least one DGEX crush job as well.
  5. +1 accuracy for my gut btw. Would be +2 but the good news came too fast.
  6. I feel like I'm the only one calm on the entire forum...not that that's necessarily a good or bad thing lol. But it would be very easy for the 6z/12z runs to go back to abysmal like yesterday's runs.. Not even remotely getting my hopes up yet.
  7. Midnight models pulling people up the cliff faster than gravity can push them down. But....does it last?
  8. I'll give up 96 hours out if it doesn't change. But not a minute sonner.
  9. Something will have to change because Boone and blowing rock weren't even really in it on the midday runs...
  10. Gut feeling says were not quite done with this system yet. Not saying it will happen, but I bet we get 1 or 2 good model runs a couple days from now. Always happens at least once.
  11. Well, the first half of my statement is correct. Get ready for an amazing showing from the ensembles!
  12. Euro is gonna come out bad, everyone is gonna jump. Ensembles will be good, everyone will climb back up...again. calling it now.
  13. Lol. That will be interesting come this weekend. We'll see what hapoens. Understandable. But do you hate it as a person, or just as the teacher?
  14. I wonder if there is a lurker in the forum who absolutely hates snow and is pounding their desk after every model run that shows snow.
  15. Even if the EPS were to agree with the Euro,(I doubt that) aren't we in that magical range of the models losing the storm anyway?
  16. Everyone just jumped off the cliff for this storm lol.
  17. crowds of cheer. We have a storm within 10 days!!!!! Not that it means anything, still gotta make sure the pattern happens and the SER stays minimal.
  18. No. we're gonna need this room more than ever if ONE bad run comes out.
  19. But are we gonna kidnap the cop and go on the rides anyway? Maybe we can hijack the pattern sonehow.
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