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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
    Finally on the road to Boone! Let’s reel it in!!!
  2. FlatLander48
    I'm hoping not, but the Nam being stubborn with it has me just a tad concerned. Have to see here in just a couple hours once the HRRR has the storm truly in it's wheelhouse and see how it looks on the hourly runs.
  3. FlatLander48
    I think it's time people start buying the fact that sleet/ Freezing rain is gonna make an appearance.
  4. FlatLander48
    Granted it's nowcast really instead of looking at models, but it does concern me a tad that the Nam has gradually reduced totals for the northern counties as we've gotten closer. But shall see what happens.
  5. FlatLander48
    lol for Boone, they simply put "a foot or more" on sunday. and 1-3 Saturday night and Sunday night.
  6. FlatLander48
    i'm not buying a transition to sleet for the northern mountains. that is typically the LAST place that ever changes over. guess we shall see soon enough
  7. FlatLander48
    I nominate the blue turd. I believe it worked out before. assuming we're still using that nickname lol
  8. FlatLander48
    You can Blame Cantore for the Frz rain in Asheville, as he's headed there lol
  9. FlatLander48
    I got lucky and found a room at 2 am this morning. Had to use all my Hilton honors points and it still cost $45 lol
  10. FlatLander48
    Clocking into work, hope to be done by 5 so I can be in Boone by 7. Almost gametime!!!! (Also I forgot it was MLK weekend, hotel prices are astronomical)
  11. FlatLander48
    I'll cash out right now. Ready to wake up tomorrow morning (I'm staying up for at least the GFS run if not more) and read the obs reports before I head to Boone after work!
  12. FlatLander48
    Although I think it's the same data, I use this site : https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ and no mention of a update or NWS login. Oh wait no, the one I linked is in relation to the Nam I believe, and yours is GEFS.
  13. FlatLander48
    i'm not sure what to think of the 18Z Nam. It's almost making me think the original LP isn't wanting to do the energy transfer, the part that acts as the wrap around has been looking better held together at the Gulf, almost as if saying it's trying to stay a Miller A instead of a hybrid. Might be a dumb description but it's strange to watch the past few Nam runs.
  14. FlatLander48
    Kuchera is designed to "always" be more accurate, as it takes into account different ratios, not just have a set 10:1
  15. FlatLander48
    Hey now, I really will bring out the lights out post (To be fair, the models do actually kinda make home (Monroe) in a bad spot for that, that's why I'm headed up the hill)
  16. FlatLander48
    Still loading the 12z CMC on my PC. but the LP is further SE than the previous run. (Again, not huge differences at this point but any little change helps/hurts)
  17. FlatLander48
    Nah, keep it up, you're bringing the heat.
  18. FlatLander48
    Pulling hairs, but 12z GFS looks to have everything ever so slightly South of 6z at hr 42
  19. FlatLander48
    I'll let that talk, plenty of potential overall over the next couple of weeks for something else to pop off.
  20. FlatLander48
    Still has some frames to load, but ICON looks juicy. Granted as always it's the ICON,
  21. FlatLander48
    NGL, I'm a tad concerned by all of a sudden sleet and FrZ rain maybe making an impact as well since the original LP is jumping over the mountains so far north.
  22. FlatLander48
    I blame the energy in the Dakotas on the 18z NAM at 72 as being the difference maker.
  23. FlatLander48
    I was just about to post about him. Looks like he’s now really starting to sounds the alarm for a pretty intense icy zone for parts if not most of the piedmont.
  24. FlatLander48
    To no surprise, another big Thwack from the EPS.
  25. FlatLander48
    I could be mistaken, but that is generally a concern if everything remains at a positive tilt, whereas once this one get cranking I believe it goes negative tilt, so that doesn’t become as much of a concern.
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