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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. The GFS then decides to create a tropical storm and send it due south...
  2. No cold air from the HP and the storm is a slider essentially and doesn't go bomb-o-genesis off the coast to produce any cold air.
  3. 12z GFS sends the low to Florida instead of bombing off the coast...So
  4. Cold air push is slightly better on the 12z run at 132 compared to the 6z at 138.
  5. No great lakes low as it approaches either, that should help things.
  6. GFS says hold on to your butts for next week.Let's see what happens The whole thing seems weird with the trajectory and dual LP's forming and all, but it's there so that's the best we can hope for right now.
  7. This could be the best picture I've ever seen posted on this entire site, what a shot!
  8. We got slammed in Boone compared to most apparently. Close to 2 inches at my house at the cottages.
  9. Just rain here in Elk Park for now. You're in Elk Park? Got a friend who just moved out there 2 months ago.
  10. Weather.com map already shows an icy changeover on some parts of the NC/TN line, anyone confirm this yet?
  11. 18z with a hint of blue on the northern fringe at hour 84. If we're gonna get ice, that's what we don't need tbh.
  12. Can we just cancel the weekend event? Rather have nothing than what the CMC shows.
  13. all we would've needed is for the HP to slow down 12 hours... that would have been a monster run for the mountains if it did. Nice and cold leading up to it with a solid CAD.
  14. What a shocker, we need blocking to keep the high in place. Was several ticks stronger this run, but got scooted out to see, granted the trajectory of the Low wasn't great for most.
  15. Yea I mentioned that in the mountains thread, looked like an absolute beautiful changeover.
  16. i'm discrediting the GFS currently as it doesn't even know where to send next week's storm yet, but the Euro is still close to something big, and the 0z run still has a good changeover to heavy snow as the system departs, still not out of this one yet.
  17. Still got roughly 8-10 days before potential system #1 is here. The storm signal itself is there on all models, location and upper level stuff is of course different at this stage. But I'd be surprised if we made it to Christmas and didn't get a nice little storm.
  18. Well 12z GFS isnt gonna be like the 6z at all. Not that it is surprising at all.
  19. Although the CMC has a lot of differences, it also has the storm signal at least.
  20. If it gives you any confidence, Robert is a full Gung-Ho on the pattern getting cold for someone in the east mid month.
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