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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
    depending on how you view positive...Positive for me is I want the rest of winter to be like Monday lol. i'm over this 35 degree rain we keep getting.
  2. FlatLander48
    I'm 100% in agreement. Might even go off the mountain to enjoy it even more Might even lay in the sun lol
  3. FlatLander48
    and I don't think it's gonna change. I would be honestly surprised if we almost blank the entirety of February minus a light NWFS event. There's just nothing positive happening.
  4. FlatLander48
    GFS is really dry, and NAM finally is starting to lean towards the other models. See you guys mid February. Looks like wrap around rain as well instead of snow.
  5. FlatLander48
    Not to be a debbie downer, but the 12k NAM is a degree or two warmer at the surface for our entire forum compared to the 6z. Edit: it's warmer everywhere, not just the forum.
  6. FlatLander48
    Man the Nam is sticking to its guns, but nothing else is budging either, and if anything other models have gotten slightly warmer actually.
  7. FlatLander48
    This is not a joke. We have a solid half inch, and I'm pretty sure this is the 2nd biggest or biggest snow of the season lol.
  8. FlatLander48
    moderate snow in Boone. Not sure of temp but it doesn't feel cold enough to stick.
  9. FlatLander48
    Nam is stubborn. very stubborn. Still don't buy it without other guidance backing it up
  10. FlatLander48
    Just a quick note. You will NOT get a more expansive push to the west with the precip shield with this look. Way too positive tilt. Coming from the CMC, I think this look compared with the surface charts is a little generous, and a bit overdone on how expansive the precip field is.
  11. FlatLander48
    I'd wait til tomorrow noon to decide. However I think saturday sunday is the best bet to guarantee snow, even if it's light.
  12. FlatLander48
    Not necessarily. You have to have a deepening storm system to get the dynamic cooling. Just heavier rates wont really do much. We would get the same 35 degree rain that weve been getting. Granted a NW trend in this case would generally Indicate a stronger system so sortof yes.
  13. FlatLander48
    Soon.
  14. FlatLander48
    Honestly wish we could skip the potential monster 1-3 inch snow we might get from the ULL and get to Monday! wow it's gonna be nice!!!
  15. FlatLander48
    Ukie pretty much in line with the Euro with the more eastern solution and possibly dry for the main event. So that's about all ya need to know.
  16. FlatLander48
    Midday models call rain with backside snow. I am 100% tossing the Nam's solution.
  17. FlatLander48
    Especially with the way the Nam has it's biases even at close range that we've known for years. I don't trust it right now.
  18. FlatLander48
    Not that it's wrong, but the Nam has a HEAVY bias of over amplifying systems, which considering the factors at play, would be the reason it shows this snowy solution. Until other models fully agree with the NAM, or show a similar solution...Take that with a giant bag of salt.
  19. FlatLander48
    Nam is meh for this weekend. Everything else is rain.
  20. FlatLander48
    The GFS and Nam both say the usual 36 degree rain this weekend. Unless 0z ukie and euro say otherwise, this will be just another cold rain as we get closer to spring.
  21. FlatLander48
    sortof yes. the storm mentioned still is way too far to the east and we actually don't get a drop of precip from it I don't believe unless I missed a frame. But the LP center did come west quite a good margin on this run, which is helping to funnel winds in from the NW and with whatever moisture is left is sparking some NWFS is the wake of the storm. Still a mile to go, but that is progress.
  22. FlatLander48
    Verbatim, it's dry compared to other models, but temp profiles look better at the surface compared to the GFS/Icon, and CMC to an extent.
  23. FlatLander48
    CMC also brings down another bowling ball ULL like we saw earlier this season.
  24. FlatLander48
    CMC with a better look overall than the Icon/GFS.
  25. FlatLander48
    0z Ukie has this to show at hour 96 as the storm is happening for us. Literally no cold air anywhere near.
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