Ajb

I’ll say this. These things are really weird — look at the hugging face transcripts — and they seem to be capable of things like solving Millennium math problems. There’s no guarantee that they keep getting smarter or better able to affect the real world, but they’re already extremely good at hacking, and all the predictions about slowing down haven’t happened yet. Moreover, at a minimum, there are real worries that these things may be able to empower bad actors with respect to hacking or, significantly more serious, biowarfare. I would say the smart version of the argument is that this is a leap into the unknown, and nobody’s sure where it ends up. Saying p(doom) = .1 or whatever is just a way of expressing this uncertainty.

Some of the heaviest rain I’ve seen here driving down Georgia Ave from Olney.

Still snowing, a wet 3/4" on the deck railing.

Grass is white, cars are topped.

Patio furniture starting to whiten (a bit N of DTSS).

Still snowing in Silver Spring. Maybe an inch on elevated surfaces.

Grass, bushes and elevated surfaces starting to get covered.

Quite a lot of snow here (DTSS) now. I’d appreciate it if this band would not move anymore.

So, was the thing that sat on top of my house last night a norlun or not after all that build-up? Still lightly snowing here.

3” here after who knows how much compacting and melting.

Finally over to full snow, near DTSS. Large flakes.

Not just closed for MCPS. Only 30% of lots cleared at this point.

I mean no doubt the odds are low, but 64 (or however many the Euro has) ensemble members hardly probe the entire space of perturbations. I wouldn’t call it a complete model failure if we get some flakes.

WSSC advisory: https://www.wsscwater.com/news/2026/january/urgent-essential-water-use-only-request-issued-all-wssc-water-customers-due Still haven’t been plowed. This is going well.

Apple weather already showing 9”-11” for Saturday and another 2”-4” on Sunday.