lee59

Snowing pretty hard here and sticking. 32.6 degrees

33.1 here with snow. Temperature slowly dropping. Not really sticking yet but I expect it will start to accumulate as we get later in the afternoon.

Snowing decently here, blowing sideways like a blizzard, 34.3°. Of course this happens at the height of daylight hours and it's not sticking. Just the way this whole winter has gone

Skies brightened but with flurries, now snow coming down a little harder and not so bright. 37 degrees.

Flurries here. Windsor Ma. and Plainfield Ma. have 20 inches.

35.5 here, not doing much of anything.

Channel 7 talking a little more aggressive with potential snow totals after latest guidance shows heavy bands, especially north and east, and possibly to the coast.

Anyone interested, especially tomorrow, here is a good webcam of Fitchburg Ma. They are expecting close to 20 inches. https://masswebcams.com/fitchburg-mass-webcam-downtown/

Yes this does look like a very significant event for the northeast. Even the coast. The biggest problem could be the heavy wet snow taking down limbs in the high winds. Fortunately not any leafing of trees. Meanwhile I have an east wind already gusting to 22mph.

As with most of these storms, it will be nowcast time. ESE wind already getting busy here.

Great for ski resorts. After a crummy winter, maybe they will be skiing well into spring.

Sounds like Catskills, Adirondacks and Poconos could really get hammered especially with a more western track. Not so good for the coast.

Still a major coastal Nor'easter for the next few days. Strong winds, heavy rain and heavy snow for some in the northeast.

Rather than shoot west, I would rather see it get stronger sooner.

This year 2 inches is meaningful.

Over the Cape

Latest forecast from NWS seems to have the coast and NYC with a general 2-4 inches, around Newburgh 6-9 inches and up toward Kingston a foot, Monticello area almost 20 inches.

It may be a pure elevation event, for those in Manhattan go to the observation center on the Empire State building.

From Upton: The trend with the track however, has been farther south and east, meaning a colder solution and therefore more in the way of snow, even along the coast. Much of the area will see plain rain for Monday, with perhaps a rain/snow mix across the higher elevation inland. As the low tracks east of the area, and strengthens, strong cold air advection will ensue, allowing a changeover to snow from northwest to southeast late Monday night into Tuesday morning. This time frame is also a period of when the heavier precipitation is expected. Heavy snow is expected across the interior, while there will be heavy rain for the coast. By early Tuesday morning, the changeover continues, even towards coastal areas, but by this point, the heavier precipitation will have ended. This changeover continues moving south and east. The snowfall forecast will be quite challenging as accumulating snowfall is possible, even along the coast.

The problem with this system from the beginning has been the lack of cold air. I think it can still be a major Nor'easter, with or without the snow.

If the storm is near Nantucket or the Cape, I would think we will get more of a Northerly wind. The problem would be how heavy the precip is.

I think some folks live and die to much on each run of each model. To me it has been pretty much the same for days. There will be an intense low off the east coast that looks to be somewhere near the Cape at some point or possibly near Nantucket. It looks to be east but retrograde back toward the coast. As far as I am concerned it is still very uncertain as to who gets what. There have been times when it is closer to the coast which probably would have been rain on Long Island where I am.

I'm not seeing this as a terrible Euro run. It is east of the Cape but retrogrades back to the Cape. Maybe allows a more cold air to infiltrate our area.

Snow has broken out near Dulles airport, which is about 20 miles west of D.C.

The precip here is very intensity sensitive. When it lightens up all rain, comes down a little harder and snow mixes in. 36 degrees.