lee59

If the storm goes west across NJ, still a big if, the severe outbreaks could be over Long Island and Ct.

This is true in most cases, Hurricane Gloria and Bob both examples. This is not completely tropical at this point and the precip could be well north of the center and more directly above the center rather than completely west.

As of now all the heavy weather is well east of the center. Have to watch and see if this holds.

Received .33 inch of rain yesterday and just .01 today. first rain in over 2 weeks

Sudden pickup in the wind here out of the NE and the temperature has gone from 68 to62. Still raining.

44 degrees with graupel falling.

Hail, thunder and lightning here.

Unusual situation having storms maintain strength or even get stronger as they head east across the city and Long Island. Hear thunder to my west.

Can see the cell on radar, right near Mahwah and north over the NY border

As of now I have overcast skies and a strong wind off the water, not a good scenario for thunderstorm activity.

There was actually about 1-3 inches of snow in the Hudson Valley south of Albany to about the Kingston area. I think what must have happened in Albany is the precip. never came down hard enough to accumulate. However, it was definitely an elevation storm, most of the snow and the biggest totals were in elevated areas.

Beginning to look like some elevated areas around the Catskills could get double digit amounts.

This won't materialize but it does look like the snow is going to be a little further south than earlier anticipated. May be some decent amounts as temperatures look to be dropping pretty fast as the snow picks up.

Looks like mid Hudson Valley on up will get some snow tonight. Around Kingston to Albany a few inches and it increases as you go east or west and up in elevation.

When the average snowfall is figured out by NOAA or the Weather Bureau, it is done in 30 year increments. The 1981-2010 time period averaged, I believe, 25.5 inches in Central Park. It is now time for this to be redone for the new 30 year time period from 1991 to 2020. The new average should be about 29.8 inches. This is quite an increase.

Your absolutely correct. My anemometer is at what the weather bureau wants, 33 feet. However there is nothing I can do about taller structures such as trees, in the neighborhood.

People don't live at the airport. Look closely at those observations. 90% of the peak wind gusts observations (for each observation period) at the airports were below 50. I believe the only 60 was Islip. Remember my anemometer, which is very accurate, is in a neighborhood like where most people live. The airports receive the highest wind gusts because they are wide open spaces. By the way, about 1/2 the airports listed did not report wind gusts of 50mph despite the fact that they are in wide open spaces. Another words, if the vantage pro anemometer that I have was located at an airport, I'm sure I would have had a peak gust about 50 or more.

here are local airport observations: https://www.weather.gov/okx/observations

There does appear to be a few more line of showers that may give me some high gusts, we shall see. Right now it looks like the sun is trying to come out.

So far my peak gust today out of the south is 41mph. Last Friday my peak gust was 38mph out of the NW and last Thursday my peak gust was 40mph out of the west.

So far in my area, very similar to recent wind events.

I went to Jones Beach did not get a gust to 40, I admit I was only there for 15 minutes. I have a vantage pro 2 wireless which is considered pretty accurate. It is 33ft up as to weather bureau specifications. With the wind out of the south I get little obstruction. I believe my 41 mph so far is more in line with most places than 50-60mph.

Yes this has been around a long time. From what I see in my area, the 39-46 fits right in with the 41mph. high gust that I have recorded.

There are always extreme gusts, especially at airports and other open locations. I think most areas have gotten wind gusts in the 35 to 45 mph zone.

If you don't have an anemometer you really can't guess what the wind gusts are. I just got back from Jones Beach with a handheld kestrel and the wind was a consisent 25 to 35mph. That was about 7 feet above the ground. Meanwhile back at my house the peak gust is now 41mph and sustained 20mph.