JetsPens87
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Everything posted by JetsPens87
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The stronger blocking is only good when it doesn't link up with the WAR which has been forcing these systems further NW. This one is allowed to escape up the Wrn edge of the block all the way to Lale Huron before transferring. That's never going to work out for us down here.
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A stronger WAR in recent history hasn't helped. Bluewave is likely right about it being fueled by ever warmer SSTs
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Real Meteorologist Typhoon Tip also said he likes CMC in Neg NAO and AO episodes but in this instance an ensemble blend is best to use. CMC is erroneously seeing something (but trending away from) the earlier transfer idea.
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Yup. That's why I said toss it.
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Those clinging to the CMC...
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If you're not under a potential CCB significant accumulations are going to be tough if not for higher elevations in NNE.
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Whatever dude
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Keep in mind you're reading the New England forum and he's talking about positioning. Not emphatically endorsing the CMC Ptypes for NY Metro. Context.
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Most of the posts I weenie are Tony's to be fair lol. But that's just because me and him go back a long ways on various forums. Tony is a legend.
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Reasonable
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Absolutely.
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Thanks. I don't crap on every threat. You know this. It's amazing being ridiculed over 1 run of the CMC though by some here. I'll say that.
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Nice edit. You could've just asked why I trash it or what my reasoning was instead of being flat out insulting. Look at the verification scores.
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It is a legitimate garbage model
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Easier just to laugh...
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Almost looks like the CMC is struggling with convective feedback the way the coastal develops towards New England and then all of a sudden pops off NJ. Easy toss
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One can easily toss the CMC
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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
JetsPens87 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That's the WAR influence. The primary is allowed to escape up the W side of the block. -
Noone said you couldnt.. I'm tracking it cause it's a powerful storm. Rain for here though.
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Thanks for pulling the data. I thought Allsnows comment was very straightforward and truthful. This confirms it.
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Agreed. Not calling for a torch or anything yet here from my end. But pretty unanimous agreement on ensembles of ridging in the E. A strong system coming early next week is a big giveaway with the NAO breaking down.
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Agreed. Big signals building
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That you'll see a 95 degree high in April before a 30 degree high in April in Brooklyn? Think about that.
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Thankfully zero signal for that on ensembles. Matter of fact quite the opposite. Big ridge forming in the E after the breakdown of the NAO block
