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Carvers Gap

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About Carvers Gap

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTRI
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Tri-Cities, TN

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  1. Carvers Gap
    Both the 12z and 18z GFS have another system in the d8-9 range. This is the time of year(shoulder season) when that model can score a coup just like it did a couple of days ago. Not saying it is the gospel, but I think the end of the month is a time frame to be watched. That was a pretty stout run. The 12z Euro has the amplification w/out the storm.
  2. Carvers Gap
    If that had arrived at any other time of the day than peak sun angles….4-5” would have accumulated here. MBY prob picked up 0.5” of snow at two different times.
  3. Carvers Gap
    More snow showers this AM around TRI.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Thunder this morning around 7:45AM. Even by Thunder in the Mountain standards(7-10 days)…this has been a fast turn around to snow!!! Severe weather last night and snow tonight. What a cold front.
  5. Carvers Gap
    I think it is is a glitch. I can see it right now on RadarScope. It really doesn't originate from MRX. But there radar looks pretty jacked up right now - lots of bands and stuff. Someone who knows more about radar could give it a name.
  6. Carvers Gap
    That is a busy map. Hope the folks under the tornado warning are good. Whew.
  7. Carvers Gap
    West Tennessee is under enhanced storm risk and also has a freeze warning posted. That is pretty wild!!!
  8. Carvers Gap
    Oh man - I just saw this. I hate to hear that. We will be praying for you and your family.
  9. Carvers Gap
    82 and strong winds right now. 40% chance of rain and snow tomorrow. "Thunder in the Mountains" Rule looks like it is in effect. Buckle up!
  10. Carvers Gap
    Look at this gradient for real feels early next week....what a cold front.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Temps are predicted to approach 80 here at TRI today. Next Monday, rain/snow showers are predicted. Tuesday's high is forecast to be 42 with lows in the low 20s. Wind chills are likely to be in the teens. Wind chills in that time frame may well even approach single digits for NE TN in the valleys w/ wind chills in the low teens likely. For those hiking the AT, wind chills in the mountains could be below zero - plan accordingly. Some through hikers have started the trek.
  12. Carvers Gap
    The 12z GFS has real feels over portions of the state in the mid-single digits next Tuesday-ish.
  13. Carvers Gap
    They 18z GFS is an impressive snow storm for middle and western areas around 210. It will almost assuredly change, but it is an example of what some of us have been watching. It looks like 2-3 strong amplifications beginning around St Patrick's Day.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Man, these are some cold operational runs. To be clear so there isn't confusion. The cold I am looking at begins around mid-month, say roughly around 200 hours. 12z models are quite cold w/ snow chances embedded - both the 12z GEM and GFS. I don't see any big storms(potential is probably embedded within ensembles as Knox has shown), but snow could be in the air on more than one occasion. The second half of March is not looking warm IMHO. Again, this looks like a continuation of the pattern.....cold -> record or near record warmth -> small cold shot -> more warmth -> big cold shot. We have cycled through that pattern already twice. I think the chances of that occurring a third time are increasing, but w/ a Spring twist.
  15. Carvers Gap
    The 6z GFS was interesting for Thursday. Both the 0z GEM and 0z Euro are still showing 1-2 amplification events incoming around mid-month and just after. This could be a WILD swing given the temps we have seen during the past few days. Highs could be 40-45 degrees colder at TRI than what we are seeing and will see this weekend. Wind chills in the mid-upper teens would not surprise me at some point between d5-16.
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