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About Carvers Gap

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KTRI
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Tri-Cities, TN
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West of I-81 in TRI...we need temps to get above freezing ASAP. Lots of ice building up w/ a steady train of more precip inbound.
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0.1-0.15 ice accretion so far. Trees are glistening and well as the power lines.
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The 12z ensembles(EPS, GEPS) and 18z ensembles(AIFS-EPS, GEFS) all have a trough over the east for most of their runs with maybe a 2-3 respite. The Euro Weeklies continue that pattern well into February and maybe even early March. The MJO-CPC is basically stalled in cold phases through mid-Feb when those runs end. It looks likely that our cold and wintry pattern continues for a time - no guarantees. IF that verifies, we all may be ready for spring when it finally arrives.
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ZR w/ glaze on pretty much everything.
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We have picked up .75-1" of snow IMBY. That is already at or well ahead of what any model(not named the GFS) consistently showed. Right now our winds are out of the NE at 7mp which is exactly where they should be coming from w/ that high over the top. The cold is getting reinforced at lower levels. CAD on this side of the mountain for all intents and purposes. I feel certain it gets scoured out...but some areas may fight that changeover longer than others.
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Moderate snow in Kingsport. Ground is white.
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Incredible. 8 degrees below guidance now?
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What I looked at has generally been two waves. The GFS has a constant stream of moisture on a few of its runs. Most other models...There is the lead out wave, and then whatever forms in Texas.
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I didn't notice that...Thanks. I assumed the time stamps was still 12z when I switched from the other 12z models.
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Whichever model had the snow line furthest south...wins the first few hours. Light snow IMBY w/ some intensity to go with it. Dusting.
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12z....I like Thursday for a light snow event w/ the incoming front then. The 0z GEM-para, which has been good, has it as does the 12z Euro.
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Thanks. Just trying to get an idea of what is upstream of me.
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Light snow falling here. I can see the cloud deck dropping on Bays Mountain.
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