Carvers Gap
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Well, evidently the Scooters groundhog has some kind of Puxatony Phil powers. Didn't seem overly scared of his shadow, but maybe that is what happens when good folks slip you a cake bite now and then - got to stay visible.
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I saw a groundhog roaming around at Scooter's Coffee(great place on the west end here!) during the middle of winter last week. I should have known we were in trouble then.
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Follow that up w/ temps that barely get above freezing from Sat-Sat...and that is a big problem. Some temps almost assuredly will be low single digits or BZ for nighttime lows. Yikes.
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Decent agreement now. I have been waiting on the GEM-para to come into alignment. It did at 0z regarding E TN.
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Impressive. I bet that 6z GFS run went in recently....but that is huge from this range.
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Yes. That is the one you had to remind me of that time...ice to snow and back to ice in Knoxville.
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5-7" band of sleet stretching over a good portion of Tenn. Never seen anything like it!
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This is reminding more of the 93-94 storm @John1122. Lots of ice and snow in Knoxville followed by cold temps. I40-74 was down to like one lane for a few days due to that. What do you think?
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I don't like waiting on a second system west of the Apps. Too many times I have seen that slide into the Carolinas during previous storms. Need a 0z Euro solution or AIFS look. Fortunately, the GFS is well...the 12z GFS. There is a reason it scores poorly. The 12z GEM is trending south. And as always...read Jeff's post above.
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Throw the GEM, ICON, and GFS in the blender....good result.
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I was thinking the same. The ZR was gone, but snow was missing. Somebody had to have been pasted on that run!
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Yeah, the 12z GEM is a MAJOR winter storm...gonna try to go inland runner @TellicoWx
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Yup. 12z GEM is south of 0z pretty bigly. Just watching trends right now.
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I am always wrong w/ the GEM in thinking it will be suppressed...but the high is pushing further south on this run at 12z
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The ICON looks overly amped. The GFS looks under amped. Blend them...and looks good. All I am doing today is throwing the models in a blender.
