87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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You referring to this HECS look? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon®ion=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2025021518&fh=114
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Icon looks better than the gfs and euro at h5. If we can lock that solution in, we're winning.
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I think it’s just larger scale systems, so less room for chaos.
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This has turned into a majestic rain event.
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Need the NS upper level energy to dig further south or we’re looking at a congrats Boston. I’m retired from 3-6” snowfalls for the season…it’s go time.
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We don’t lock in snowfall here until it snows lol
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Only a coating here, but radar looks great up there…not surprised. Think the changeover is occurring here as I type.
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Still snowing…I want to head out, but roads looks rough for the time being.
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Quick coating on all surfaces here, but pingers have entered the picture.
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I think what we're seeing is a bit of a later capture than we'd like, but still time to get that upper level energy a bit further south.
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I'm just not there yet lol. Been in this game too long. Let me see the Euro.
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Coastal New England still looks like the best spot to be for this. It's a better run, but still kinda ots. In other news, it's snowing right now (and sticking)...that's all this winter really wants to do...so there's that.
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Coastal hugger and basically a mecs.
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From experience, we typically need the northern stream to dig more or else the coastal will get going too late. However, this looks more like a miller hybrid so we can still get a snowstorm out of it if the cutoff low takes a northern route.
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Good catch...snagged a WWA here, too. I meant it when I said Frederick is in a spot where we just kinda get a slice of most storms. It's also an underrated chilly outside...it's got a dense feel to it.
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Doesn’t phase like the euro, but seemed like an improvement early on.
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This run might make some new friends
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Basketball
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Fine...I'm in.
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What about the "use the model with the least amount of snow" rule? I'm still not fond of that PV placement. I guess I'm hoping for a hecs with the bowling ball ull is further south. A mecs sounds awesome, though.
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Or getting 3" near the base of the Catoctin's while the mixing bowl gets 6.
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It’s a straight up blizzard. H5 is a bowling ball through New England
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We take
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Miller B's be annoying
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Hard to tell what the path to victory is here. If the upper level energy is too far north, we're looking at a Miller hybrid or B (which seems to be what's being modeled)...if it's further south, it might work out better for the southern crew, but leave those to the north with a nasty gradient again. I guess we need everything to be a little further west?
