87storms
-
Posts
7,680 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by 87storms
-
Just heard a couple rumbles of thunder which is unacceptable in February, so I’m now ok with a 4-6” snowfall…which is still in play.
-
Thunder and pouring.
-
Looks like something is on my doorstep.
-
We know the model runs will vary at this range, otherwise we’d just look at one and tune back in on Wednesday. Most models have shown a bias for there to be too much dry air on the nw flank of this system. I still think it could fill in with the upper level energy moving thru, but the idea that there’s an ots system that might not phase properly has been there for the last couple days.
-
You only bring up this topic when snow is taken away lol
-
Next
-
24 hr QPF 0.5" line is south of DC and significantly worse than 6z...I'd be surprised if that much snow falls. The system gets going too late.
-
It's a sheared out mess. The models have shown their hand. Gotta hope for a 4-6" event at this point.
-
I think we've got high pressure in the wrong spot for this one. It's chasing this system out instead of helping to slow things down and reel in moisture off the Atlantic. As is, we might want an amped up southern stream and just hope we get clipped by the initial overrunning.
-
Nam said to the globals, “Let me show you how it’s done.”
-
Looks very similar to 12z...maybe ever so slightly east, but a slightly deeper coastal.
-
The ss wave just can’t seem to gain enough latitude. It’s getting chased ots instead of phasing and lifting north. Not sure what causes that, but it always seems like a yellow flag for this area to have any kind of GL low, kicker, etc.
-
Now watch the euro show 10” of powder over the dmv
-
Yea, I think a snowstorm is still on the table…but it’s looking more zonal than some coastal stemwinder…which can still produce here.
-
In other news…Mcclung. Agreed on the weather part, but think by 0z Monday we’ll know.
-
lol, thing is…there isn’t a single lr model that looks awesome rn
-
Reel it in…you’ve been hawking over this time period. I like that the gulf is involved and we’re not just relying on Atlantic moisture from the coastal.
-
Miller b hybrid?
-
Fun sports night as we wait for 0z
-
I could see this system being further west if there’s more phasing since the high isn’t exactly parked over Quebec, though I still think this system has the most potential further northeast. The NS just doesn’t seem diggy enough for our latitude…at least for now. I think by 12z tomorrow the goalposts are gonna tighten enough that we’ll have a better idea of where the greatest max potential is.
-
Derivative of prog with respect to time…unless it’s not differential calculus, then I was jk.
-
It’s become incredibly difficult to get a closed ull south of our latitude.
-
You guys weren't kidding about the cold smoke...2m temps are nippy. Absolutely zero temp issues along 95 with that run.
-
I'm only 2 miles nw of Rt 15, so I'm going to classify myself as east.
-
It could be like 50 miles further south, but yea that's going to shut things down for a couple days.
