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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    Just started looking beyond our “walking on snow” system. Interesting stuff showing up next weekend to say the least.
  2. 87storms
    Euro is typically steady eddy (so not expecting much change) but I noticed slightly slower start times as the latest trend. Curious if that continues.
  3. 87storms
    Pretty obvious given the low dews leading in that the main model convergence now is on a front end thump (6-10”?) with wildcards thereafter depending on low track, strength of cad, etc.
  4. 87storms
    This is true. My elevation is wimpy…I’m like 350’ but it does shoot up quick towards the Watershed.
  5. 87storms
    I didn’t…but after growing up in Silver Spring, I know this area is like a different climate. Actually, anything Germantown north can be the dividing line for snow/sleet…at least it used to be.
  6. 87storms
    I didn’t move to Frederick to see sleet.
  7. 87storms
    Yea the changeover seems to get triggered by that spoke of Baja energy rotating closer by midday Sunday. Hope this doesn’t become a Feb 94. Unlikely, but it would really help to get a closed low below our latitude again at some point like most of the big storms do.
  8. 87storms
    Seems a little odd to have lower totals west of dc. Dulles will do better than college park in this type of setup.
  9. 87storms
    Yea having a coastal involved changes the game for 95 west.
  10. 87storms
    Yea, that’s a “you won’t be driving for a couple days” run.
  11. 87storms
    The nam is just our dry run for the globals.
  12. 87storms
    I don’t get paid to do this, but that map says (and has said) to me that suppression/sheared is still the more likely outcome. But if it cuts to Detroit, then I was just kidding.
  13. 87storms
    I’m getting hyped, but there’s a very high probability I will be checking back at 0z lol
  14. 87storms
    Just got back from Wegman’s near what I think is your old stomping ground…looked like it had been robbed. Feeling pretty good about this storm up this way, though I could see how Thurmont and north might do better than Frederick proper.
  15. 87storms
    Yep, shows how easily this system could get bullied south and become a sheared out system. Seems like anything from amped to modest to even a two-part system is on the table.
  16. 87storms
    Upper level map really is a lot different on the gfs compared to the euro and cmc. Who knows. Gfs output kinda makes more sense given the pattern we’re in as opposed to some ramped up low. I think that would ultimately end up an easy warning level snow, but looks nothing like a hecs at 500mb. Model mayhem continues.
  17. 87storms
    I wonder if the cmc and icon are underdoing the amount of dry air involved. Regardless, we’re in the euro and gfs’ world rn aka the important models.
  18. 87storms
    Yea it’s the new normal here. Looks like the sun might pop back out at least.
  19. 87storms
    Poncho for the when it changes over to fzra. Jk
  20. 87storms
    …and next week.
  21. 87storms
    I don’t think I’ll be playing outdoor basketball on Sunday
  22. 87storms
    It’s only Wednesday lol
  23. 87storms
    Looks like Frederick has an opportunity to make up ground from the last few years. Curious where in MoCo will be the dividing line. Seems like Gaithersburg to Columbia is often times the battleground for these fall line setups.
  24. 87storms
    Seems like solutions are converging on at least several inches to start, so the first step in this competitive sport seems to be nearing completion. Next step is where the primary low ends up.
  25. 87storms
    Canadians have a north bias
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