87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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The longterm gfs and euro are keeping me interested in winter while also making me a little annoyed that I may not get my bike trails back as soon as I’d like.
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It is kinda weird that we’re not getting at least a Norlun’s trough. Like others have implied, this seems to be more of a cold front shunting a coastal ots than an ull that scoops a coastal ala jan 00. Winter ain’t over yet.
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Use logic…the two best globals are ots. Who cares what the nam shows lol
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Let it go, RR. You gave it your all.
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So I guess the 18z euro didn’t move 150 miles nw?
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We might get an inverted trough that drops several inches in a thin stripe from Leesburg/Frederick across the Bay and there's nothing we can do about it.
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I still think we can get some sneaky snow showers when the upper level energy swings thru. The coastal is a wrap, though.
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At least it's cold and windy outside rn.
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Weak low and ots. Never was thrilled about that look.
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I think the lack of clippers is a clue as to what's going on upstairs.
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I'm glad I lived in Bethesda in Jan 2019...got shellacked by that ull (2nd part) of the storm...had at least 8" from that one. Not sure how Frederick fared between 2016 and 2021, but I don't think I've actually received 6" since I moved here. Was looking at previous pics and measured 5.5" from that early Jan 2022 event (so maybe 6 with a snowboard), but less than 6 with compaction.
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Spring sounds majestic rn.
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It's over. The southern stream energy runs out ahead of the ull which doesn't close off south enough. How's next week looking?
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Just saw the 6z gfs and euro...this may have been mentioned already (I have to work today, so I'm not through 5 pages of bs), but seems like they actually ticked further south with the upper level energy which is exactly what we need to have any chance at this storm getting captured. I'm not out yet...like 85% out.
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I’m ready for spring.
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This storm isn’t even a bust lol
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I know the wind was legit today bc two of my friends (who aren’t that into weather) told me a microburst came thru Bethesda and Glenwood.
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Ravens, how many threads do we need for this storm lol. Reel it in, dude.
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I get it…I’m a lowly hobbyist…however, one thing I’ve learned is to try to analyze the atmosphere from the top down. That’s why I didn’t get snookered this time. Never really liked the northern stream look with this one as we typically want closed lows to be at our lat or south. Of course, that’s not a rule, but it’s helped me stay cautious at 5 day leads.
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Yea, I’d rather see a cold, dense surface high in the northeast resulting in overrunning than a tpv that doesn’t have much in the way of energy rounding the bend because it’s just gonna push the boundary too far east (I think).
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Yea it’s getting shunted ots. Way too much blocking.
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Yea I noticed that too…by 6 hrs maybe. Might help get ahead of the bowling ball a bit…or it’s just speeding up every feature.
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Fine
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https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
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Btw…a great disco by lwx explaining the latest trends and that it’s not necessarily a wrap yet.
