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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. What could possibly go wrong? But seriously, tomorrow is gonna be an absolute nothing burger until that coastal kicks in. Temps look like they'll be in the mid 30s throughout area until early evening.
  2. Feels like the day before the March 01 storm. Just kidding…that was actually straight up warm.
  3. This weather is incredible. I guess I want snow? Lol
  4. I just think the “differences” we’re talking about are because of land vs ocean snow maps more so than the models being all that far apart. If this storm was a cutter we probably wouldn’t even notice it lol.
  5. You have the job I (and probably half the forum) wanted. I mean who tf takes diffeq, calc3 and 3 sems of physics and goes into IT, smh lol. Hope you’re right…euro has been stubborn so far.
  6. It caught onto the idea of the coastal first but the euro has barely budged either once it latched on, and is the best model. It’s foolish to think the gfs is right before the storm even starts.
  7. Coastals usually form too late for us. We’ll get snow, but these systems always target northeast md (lower end) to Boston (high end). It’s the case like 95% of the time.
  8. We’re gonna get 2-4” of snow with a back edge that forms before the precip arrives and we’re gonna like it.
  9. I kinda expected that to happen at some point. The euro demands respect.
  10. I’ll just have to drive up the street for the first part of the storm, if that’s the case.
  11. Not super ideal though for those further east. Wet snow looks awesome, but power outages could be a thing for those closer to the coast with lower ratios.
  12. The Catoctins having a strong performance with this setup would make sense.
  13. I’m becoming bullish on our area for this one. We might do pretty well being on the windward side of the blue ridge. The screw zone will be somewhere in between due to temps and getting fringed by the developing coastal.
  14. Reverse psychology aside, I actually like where I’m at from a temps and upslope/easterly flow perspective for the sake of potential upside. Just like in basketball, the pivot is key.
  15. Breezes have kicked up here in the last 15 mins, which is a good thing. This airmass was getting stagnant.
  16. My hope is that this becomes a Feb 10, 2010 type of a pivot, but from hobbyist experience I will say this is definitely a setup in which you want to temper celebrations until it’s actually snowing. Miller Bs are a mortal enemy for central md. We’re generally not good at them.
  17. I like that look more than any other model I’ve seen. Most of them have Frederick on the western envelope of the goods.
  18. It’s gonna take the battle of the century, but it appears Frederick might actually get peeks of sun before the day is out.
  19. Yea I’m not impressed with the trend here at all. The rest of the guidance has been for more of a coastal impact. Temps are also a problem even more so for that crew. At this point, we gotta start taking the euro seriously.
  20. Gfs seems to be trending slightly east just about every run since yesterday.
  21. Cold chasing precip, increasing sun angle, a rapid developing coastal that’s 100 miles east of OC, and a reliance on an IVT/Norlun…just our kinda storm.
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