87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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It looks healthy to say the least
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This run might make me more optimistic.
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I’d like the TPV further west. Probably my biggest concern tbh. But also not convinced the bitterly cold temps/suppression will be realized. I still like my goal of 4-6” lol
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The gfs isn’t exactly a flush hit up here. Not saying it won’t happen, but certainly my part of the subforum isn’t a lock yet. I need to see better consensus from the big dog models.
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It’s still 5-6 days out in a La Niña lol.
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The sun is gonna be at a very symbolic 32 degrees altitude by the time our storm arrives.
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Yea, wind was a little sharp at times, but overall a very Colorado-style day.
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I’m expecting a significant accumulation of clouds next weekend.
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We might need to fund a vacuum in the Plains to start pulling NS vorts further south and west...maybe we'll at least get some clippers out of it.
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The upper level flow is still very much NS dominant. Your idea of the southern stream energy coming out in pieces makes more sense than one big storm imo and, frankly, is what the h5 map shows on the gfs. We’re up against atmospheric memory rn.
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And if they do, ask questions lol
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Yea, but that only means a 6% chance of it snowing each day. I’m just kidding, @ravensrule
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We’re getting a snowstorm(s) soon and there’s nothing we can do about. Better? @ravensrule
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It’s challenging based off the actual outcomes of the past few years lol. With that said…I have honked at the potential of this pattern, but we know the routine by now. Euro runs this ship, period.
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Frederick would perform incredibly well with that setup with that extra Blue Ridge upslope.
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La Niña’s gonna La Niña. I’m hoping for 4-6” here. Gonna be a challenge in this pattern.
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What’s that bright thing in the sky I’ve seen for more than 15 minutes today?
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4 storms hit my area in Bethesda at the time. We had that Jan 30 suppression that nudged north, Feb 2, the mothership event on Feb 5-6 and the screamer/mauler on Feb 10. Pretty wild in hindsight.
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MJO 6 to 8 ftw?
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96 and 16 both had massive closed lows. This one seems like it’s mostly a big overrunning event…which would also be cool.
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Yea but I thought the Canadien and UK always led the way at this range?
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Canadian is our boom scenario where the SW energy actually does eject and tap into the gulf...producing basically a hecs. Unfortunately, it's not the Euro.
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I could absolutely picture the flagship storm in this pattern getting pushed out to next week...which is fine. We're pretty great at early to mid-February snowstorms.
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I have minimal interest in a minor snowstorm lol. They’re boring and over in 2 hrs. What’s getting really weird is the lack of gom influence. It’s just dormant. I’m spitballing, but beginning to wonder if this lead event ends up minor and then when we finally get that energy in the southwest to make its move, that’s when we get a healthy wave developing. Not saying it’s going to happen, but seems like a possible scenario.
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Suppression is the greatest concern for this storm. I don’t see any possibility of it cutting. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if this ends up a lower mid-Atlantic simply because of the overpowering NS for what seems like years at this point. My hope is that we get enough of a nudge north up to gametime to get in on a few inches here…though I absolutely do not expect to be in the bullseye on this with the way the southern stream wave gets sheared out.
