87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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It’s challenging based off the actual outcomes of the past few years lol. With that said…I have honked at the potential of this pattern, but we know the routine by now. Euro runs this ship, period.
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Frederick would perform incredibly well with that setup with that extra Blue Ridge upslope.
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La Niña’s gonna La Niña. I’m hoping for 4-6” here. Gonna be a challenge in this pattern.
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What’s that bright thing in the sky I’ve seen for more than 15 minutes today?
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4 storms hit my area in Bethesda at the time. We had that Jan 30 suppression that nudged north, Feb 2, the mothership event on Feb 5-6 and the screamer/mauler on Feb 10. Pretty wild in hindsight.
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MJO 6 to 8 ftw?
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96 and 16 both had massive closed lows. This one seems like it’s mostly a big overrunning event…which would also be cool.
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Yea but I thought the Canadien and UK always led the way at this range?
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Canadian is our boom scenario where the SW energy actually does eject and tap into the gulf...producing basically a hecs. Unfortunately, it's not the Euro.
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I could absolutely picture the flagship storm in this pattern getting pushed out to next week...which is fine. We're pretty great at early to mid-February snowstorms.
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I have minimal interest in a minor snowstorm lol. They’re boring and over in 2 hrs. What’s getting really weird is the lack of gom influence. It’s just dormant. I’m spitballing, but beginning to wonder if this lead event ends up minor and then when we finally get that energy in the southwest to make its move, that’s when we get a healthy wave developing. Not saying it’s going to happen, but seems like a possible scenario.
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Suppression is the greatest concern for this storm. I don’t see any possibility of it cutting. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if this ends up a lower mid-Atlantic simply because of the overpowering NS for what seems like years at this point. My hope is that we get enough of a nudge north up to gametime to get in on a few inches here…though I absolutely do not expect to be in the bullseye on this with the way the southern stream wave gets sheared out.
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And it’s on the weekend…which we’re really good at.
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That and the correlation coefficient are enemies of snow
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Increasing sun angle ftw
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Pretty cool looking sunset as the clouds finally rolled east.
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Even this week’s temps are looking a little higher than they did a few days ago. Was expecting a brutally cold week ahead, but looks like only Tuesday will be bitter. The rest of the days show 30s/40s for highs.
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Gotta see what happens with that energy in the southwest. Canadian looks tastier so far.
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That was yesterday for me. Waking up and looking out the window to an unexpected snow globe was pretty cool. This system is an example of why we need blocking here. Flow is just too progressive making it hard to get more than these light events.
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Looks like whatever fell ended as a cartopper of something frozen here.
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Looks like it's driven by forcing at 850mb swinging thru. Probably gonna be frozen, but shorter duration west of 15. One of those forecasts where mets are put to the test.
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I'm seeing a "Chai", which is Hebrew for life, and also stands for, "Chai want a snowstorm."
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Yea all I’m chasing at this point is the “chance” to have a decent storm and that requires a gulf tap from a system crossing the southern plains. If the cold air gets shunted east and/or is too transient, so be it.
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Stj energy is still there. This might be one of those longtrack systems/patterns that flip flops for a few more days.
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The Euro has owned this event. Barely budged the last few days. Tbd on the final outcome, but it showed why it’s the king…it’s just more consistent than the others, period.
