87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Stj energy is still there. This might be one of those longtrack systems/patterns that flip flops for a few more days.
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The Euro has owned this event. Barely budged the last few days. Tbd on the final outcome, but it showed why it’s the king…it’s just more consistent than the others, period.
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Kinda like where I stand in Frederick for some frozen tomorrow, though looks like lightweight stuff. Hoping we can tap into a legitimate snowstorm soon.
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I need more of this afternoon’s weather. Actually a premium day all around…start of the weekend, it snowed this morning, made progress on my paper (taking a grad class), and just played basketball. Oh and NFL playoffs soon.
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Idk…looks like a pretty healthy southern stream wave. With that clash of cold, could be one of those big Plains storms as opposed to a clean, moderate event.
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The most important takeaway is the subtropical energy involved. You can see it making its march into the sw. Where it goes from there is the unknown.
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I’ve been craving a jeep lately…
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I still need to check out the Sphere, but prices aren’t very fun. I’ve got one good snowstorm in me and then I’ll be ready for a warmup, even if that starts in February, though will accept strategic cold through March where it actually snows.
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Prob ended up with 0.5-0.75” here. Milder than yesterday too lol
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Steady and sticking to absolutely everything here.
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Wait, what’s going on outside?? Lol. That was unexpected.
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I actually almost always say that in my head when reading it
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Next week’s pattern is looking highly trackable. The models won’t know which shortwave will spark the gulf, but it seems like something is brewing.
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Fun looking setup so far with gulf moisture available and cold air incoming, not retreating.
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It’s cloudy almost every day here. I actually think the eastern shore and central Va are underrated. They get less of the stratus decks caused by the Great Lakes and mountains, and they seem to get more snow now lol. Current satellite loop really shows the difference between i95 east and west.
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It’s waffling from run to run. I’m more interested in what’s getting tee’d up for next weekend. Looks like maybe some stj action?
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Very intriguing run.
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I just like seeing an actual wave in the south. If it gets suppressed, so be it, but it’s at least something fruitful to track beyond the leftover scraps we’re getting from the northern tier.
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Lol
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Another round of wind has made an appearance here.
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Having the gulf open for business is music to my ears.
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That’s actually a pretty weak correlation with the relationship potentially caused by outliers. Not sure where you got the 62.5% from unless you were looking at a sample of data? I only say that because R^2 in that case is 6.25%. I think when looking at these indices, it’s easy to get caught in a chicken/egg loop unless there’s clearly pressure-level signals for snowier winters like with nao/ao, etc.
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Slightly different than Sunday's fish storm: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026011518&fh=72
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this is much more inspiring than what we've been working with lately: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026011518&fh=180
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You mean you don’t like it when it’s below freezing, windy, and cloudy with no snow?
