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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    It caught onto the idea of the coastal first but the euro has barely budged either once it latched on, and is the best model. It’s foolish to think the gfs is right before the storm even starts.
  2. 87storms
    Coastals usually form too late for us. We’ll get snow, but these systems always target northeast md (lower end) to Boston (high end). It’s the case like 95% of the time.
  3. 87storms
    We’re gonna get 2-4” of snow with a back edge that forms before the precip arrives and we’re gonna like it.
  4. 87storms
    Miller Bs can never be trusted.
  5. 87storms
    I kinda expected that to happen at some point. The euro demands respect.
  6. 87storms
    I’ll just have to drive up the street for the first part of the storm, if that’s the case.
  7. 87storms
    Not super ideal though for those further east. Wet snow looks awesome, but power outages could be a thing for those closer to the coast with lower ratios.
  8. 87storms
    The Catoctins having a strong performance with this setup would make sense.
  9. 87storms
    I’m becoming bullish on our area for this one. We might do pretty well being on the windward side of the blue ridge. The screw zone will be somewhere in between due to temps and getting fringed by the developing coastal.
  10. 87storms
    Reverse psychology aside, I actually like where I’m at from a temps and upslope/easterly flow perspective for the sake of potential upside. Just like in basketball, the pivot is key.
  11. 87storms
    The Chesapeake Bay nor’easter.
  12. 87storms
    Breezes have kicked up here in the last 15 mins, which is a good thing. This airmass was getting stagnant.
  13. 87storms
    My hope is that this becomes a Feb 10, 2010 type of a pivot, but from hobbyist experience I will say this is definitely a setup in which you want to temper celebrations until it’s actually snowing. Miller Bs are a mortal enemy for central md. We’re generally not good at them.
  14. 87storms
    Aka the snowstorm from the meh lol.
  15. 87storms
    I like that look more than any other model I’ve seen. Most of them have Frederick on the western envelope of the goods.
  16. 87storms
    It’s gonna take the battle of the century, but it appears Frederick might actually get peeks of sun before the day is out.
  17. 87storms
    Yea I’m not impressed with the trend here at all. The rest of the guidance has been for more of a coastal impact. Temps are also a problem even more so for that crew. At this point, we gotta start taking the euro seriously.
  18. 87storms
    Gfs seems to be trending slightly east just about every run since yesterday.
  19. 87storms
    Mother Nature > reverse psychology
  20. 87storms
    Cold chasing precip, increasing sun angle, a rapid developing coastal that’s 100 miles east of OC, and a reliance on an IVT/Norlun…just our kinda storm.
  21. 87storms
    Old rag is legit. At least a 1/3 of it is a rock scramble. Plan accordingly.
  22. 87storms
    It’s a bowl with character
  23. 87storms
    Frederick has a snow allergy during La Niña. Chasing is tempting, though.
  24. 87storms
    Some of the model output is wild. 966 lp at our latitude on the Canadian. There will be watches up by tomorrow night for the Eastern shore at this rate.
  25. 87storms
    Only if someone sits next to me when it’s empty
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