87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Just took a 30 min loop thru the hood. 3” on the dot in multiple spots. Light snow with occasional dendrites throughout the journey. No sleet. Very wintry…like a winter version of those Atlantic misty days we get. Waiting on round two now.
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In ull's we trust. It's gonna backfill. Does this almost every storm and used to make me punt too early when I first started this hobby...being next to an ocean has its perks.
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I really don't dislike my location for part 2. Us i70 folks may not want to punt yet.
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Yea, every model I've had time to look at so far this morning shows a 2-10pm window this afternoon for some resurgence of lift from the ULL for the majority of Central MD. I'm all in on that part. Daytime snow > nighttime snow.
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I didn’t get snookered by the models this time. They were all clearly pointing towards a dc/south win, but it does look cool outside. Excited for my stroll around the hood.
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Slept more than I expected last night…primarily bc the flakes were so small I couldn’t really see them in the lights. I’m blessed with having to attend a 845am daily call, so I’ll either go out before or after to investigate and measure what the damage is.
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Got 2 hrs of zzzz give or take. Just peeked out the window…the white ground has confirmed my suspicion that snow made it to FDK.
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Trammell Starks is legit.
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Yea that event will forever be epic (had several inches, maybe upwards of 5”), but was actually a prolific snow bust for dc and I think most locales to the northeast too. Feb 94…a low formed along a stalled out boundary in the Deep South. Huge moisture return, but too much of a good thing.
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Ball is life
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Got my final outdoor hoops shoot-around in (cold, but doable) before sunset before the courts close for the foreseeable future. Very light wind...definitely had a "calm before the storm" vibe.
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I've been mostly mia this afternoon, but just peaked at the HRRR and Nam...and I'm definitely a little more enthusiastic for mby than I was earlier. That's pretty healthy vort pass.
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Latest Nam is a work of art.
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That ended up being a great event where I lived. I remember hiking through Cabin John and it was just absolutely ripping outside when the ull moved through.
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I’ve been diligently tracking the Coriolis index the last few days.
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Only issue is that was 15 years ago and models have certainly improved since, but I hope you’re right.
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Models have shown their hand. Secs to the north, mecs to the south. There’s gonna be little pockets of surprises as always, but the precip jack has been generally closer to dc and south for several days now. It’s nowcast time.
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Surface obs: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfcloop/currobs.html
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It’s gonna snow and there’s nothing we can do about it. WV: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=08&length=12 Sat: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=undefined
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…I think the whiskey is called Tenjaku.
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Checking in from Umi Sushi in Ellicott. Just had some kind of Japanese whisky…which was actually pretty good. I’m ready for a snowstorm.
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I’m running behind schedule (apologies) and heading back out until the 0z, but I’m speaking imby. Dc is in great shape (beautiful spot for this storm), but us northern crew need some help from that secondary max that’s been thrown around as a possibility on “not enough” models so far.
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Seems like it's GFS/Nam vs the world right now. Really gonna need to see how much give that confluence has. The 0z suite will be very interesting.
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I’ve experienced practically no benefit in the snow dept since moving to Frederick a few years ago. It’s possible that dc has actually received more snow than mby because of that early Jan ‘22 storm.
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Monday is locked in as a SECS (fringe imby-dependent MECS). This is the more important thread now.
