I think the lower qpf is more a product of the quick-hitting nature of the storm more so than it being just a bunch of snow grains falling from the sky.
Surprised to see barely a dusting at Bwi. Got a coating in Frederick. Roads were fine, but it clearly was sticking earlier. Side streets still had spotty accumulating. Looks like up to a half inch might have fallen.
My coworker, who was an operational forecaster for several years (and still checks the models, though now in biz dev) insinuated similar. Polar vortex might push things south, but how south who knows. Interesting pattern regardless.
Not sure if anyone can watch live, but I just got to the major upgrades in modeling presentation at ams. The euro and gfs are at 9 and 915 (CT), for those interested. You might be able to watch it via the ams website.
I was trying to figure that out while on an ams break lol.
In other news, Cantore is one of us. He was attending the “winter weather in a warming world” presentation this morning. Also briefly met Jason Samenow, who sat down next to me and my coworker (saw the name tag). I recognized the name from cwg.
Tons of presentations and posters here. Heard the Bmore one was also pretty big.
Jan ‘11 might have been my last legit thunder snow. I was living in downtown Bethesda and was on a jebber when lightning struck right overhead of me. Instant loud crack.
Could end up just being average which is better than the non-existent winters we’ve had every other year it seems since 2016. Those are the issues more so than the “median” years which balance out the occasional hecs.
Anyone here going to the AMS conference? My company is one of the sponsors and will be having a booth there (we'll be rotating who's covering the booth vs attending presentations). I'm tagging along as an analyst/hobbyist. If you're interested in meeting up or visiting our booth, lmk (you can shoot me a message).